boys 2004 Mass East
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Lincoln-Sudbury Dual County 17 3 3 8 4 5 4 4 13 11.00 2 Beverly No Shore 17 5 4 9 6 6 1 8 15 6.00 3 Malden Catholic Catholic 21 2 2 4 2 2 13 2 17 16.00 4 Wellesley Bay State 22 1 5 31 3 7 8 3 18 1.00 5 Concord Carlisle Dual County 16 5 10 10 9 11 7 12 30 1.00 6 Duxbury Pilgrim 22 1 1 1 1 1 30 1 32 57.00 7 Medfield TriVal 21 2 6 66 5 12 15 5 32 1.00 8 Boston College H Catholic 10 7 22 3 14 16 2 18 36 0.10 9 Dover-Sherborn TriVal 17 5 23 63 16 19 11 15 45 0.10 10 Hingham Pilgrim 13 8 24 6 26 13 3 31 47 1.00 11 Waltham Greater Bosto 14 5 9 11 12 14 21 13 48 1.00 12 Falmouth HS Pilgrim 16 7 14 17 29 15 6 28 49 0.10 13 Needham Bay State 15 6 20 32 20 25 9 23 57 0.10 14 South Hadley WestMass 19 2 7 19 8 4 58 6 68 3.00 15 Chelmsford Merrimack 13 5 13 26 15 26 25 19 70 0.10 16 St Johns Shrewsb CentMass 15 5 19 60 28 22 26 24 72 0.10 17 St Johns Prep Da Catholic 15 6 8 5 7 8 56 10 74 0.10 18 St Bernard CentMass 4 0 83 131 19 3 57 17 77 0.10 19 Weymouth Bay State 15 5 11 37 24 30 24 25 79 0.10 20 Algonquin CentMass 17 5 18 71 21 24 34 26 84 0.10 21 North Andover Cape Ann 15 5 15 35 27 18 37 29 84 0.10 22 Longmeadow WestMass 16 5 12 15 10 10 68 7 85 0.10 23 Amherst-Pelham WestMass 18 4 16 34 13 17 61 9 87 0.10 24 Hamilton-Wenham Cape Ann 13 6 30 49 30 36 19 34 89 0.10 25 Barnstable Pilgrim 12 7 39 39 44 34 20 37 91 0.10 26 Danvers North Shore 12 9 28 20 52 29 14 56 99 0.10 27 Marshfield Pilgrim 11 6 25 43 38 35 31 35 101 0.10 28 Xaverian Bros Catholic 7 10 34 2 54 23 10 68 101 0.10 29 Billerica Merrimack 10 7 21 13 34 28 22 52 102 0.10 30 Newton North Bay State 12 9 33 24 49 42 5 59 106 0.10 31 Cohasset Pilgrim 11 8 36 21 70 20 27 61 108 0.10 32 Minnechaug WestMass 13 7 26 18 47 21 55 32 108 0.10 33 Milton Bay State 13 8 37 40 56 38 17 55 110 0.10 34 Peabody Greater Bosto 8 10 43 12 60 40 12 67 119 0.10 35 Scituate Pilgrim 12 7 31 44 61 39 33 50 122 0.10 36 Acton Boxborough Dual County 5 9 46 7 55 41 16 69 126 0.10 37 King Philip Hocomock 16 3 17 78 17 32 80 14 126 1.00 38 Norwood Bay State 1 0 51 120 23 9 100 21 130 0.10 39 Marblehead North Shore 12 7 44 61 53 44 38 51 133 0.10 40 Holliston TriVal 13 7 54 98 58 48 35 54 137 0.10 41 Norwell Pilgrim 11 9 49 27 74 37 29 71 137 0.10 42 Andover HS Merrimack 11 8 27 14 25 27 67 44 138 0.10 43 Lexington HS Middlesex 11 8 29 22 46 33 42 63 138 1.00 44 Shawsheen Valley MTLL 14 1 81 130 11 31 98 11 140 0.10 45 Wayland Dual County 11 8 45 42 63 47 36 58 141 0.10 46 Martha's Vineyar Maritime 14 4 47 100 31 43 79 22 144 0.10 47 Lowell Merrimack 10 7 42 47 59 49 40 65 154 0.10 48 Northampton WestMass 6 10 65 23 86 50 32 74 156 0.10 49 Westford Academy Dual County 13 6 32 68 35 52 65 39 156 0.10 50 Burlington Middlesex 12 5 40 76 48 46 71 46 163 0.10 51 Hopkinton TriVal 9 10 53 77 85 61 18 84 163 0.10 52 Ashland TriVal 9 10 74 75 84 60 23 83 166 0.10 53 Austin Prep Catholic 13 5 57 110 37 54 74 40 168 0.10 54 Franklin Hocomock 10 9 38 53 75 57 41 76 174 0.10 55 Masconomet Cape Ann 14 7 41 97 66 55 64 60 179 0.10 56 Framingham Bay State 7 11 56 30 83 67 28 91 186 0.10 57 Gloucester North Shore 12 7 59 92 65 62 62 62 186 0.10 58 New Bedford Pilgrim 16 3 55 109 18 59 113 16 188 0.10 59 NE Metro VoTech MTLL 12 5 97 127 50 51 91 48 190 0.10 60 Reading Middlesex 13 5 48 94 45 53 92 45 190 0.10 61 Arlington Greater Bosto 8 9 52 50 71 66 53 75 194 0.10 62 Catholic Memoria Catholic 7 10 68 41 72 70 51 73 194 0.10 63 Agawam WestMass 7 12 70 33 101 65 39 92 196 0.10 64 Winchester Middlesex 11 9 35 25 64 45 82 70 197 0.10 65 St Peters Marian CentMass 9 10 71 67 88 63 47 89 199 0.10 66 Tri County Reg V MTLL 12 6 95 122 62 64 78 57 199 0.10 67 Westfield WestMass 8 11 61 54 92 74 44 85 203 0.10 68 Manchester-Essex Cape Ann 1 0 50 111 22 58 133 20 211 0.10 69 Matignon Middlesex 4 5 120 115 69 56 110 47 213 0.10 70 Saugus North Shore 10 6 58 104 67 69 86 64 219 0.10 71 Nantucket Maritime 7 11 75 85 104 73 43 104 220 0.10 72 Minuteman Reg Vo MTLL 5 8 114 113 87 71 66 86 223 0.10 73 North Reading Cape Ann 0 1 126 126 33 97 93 33 223 0.10 74 Hanover Pilgrim 6 12 60 48 105 75 49 103 227 0.10 75 Doherty-Worceste CentMass 11 8 76 99 73 68 87 77 232 0.10 76 Sandwich Pilgrim 7 11 63 69 103 79 59 95 233 0.10 77 Westborough CentMass 8 9 72 86 89 72 72 90 234 0.10 78 Marian Catholic Catholic 10 4 107 134 42 84 129 27 240 0.10 79 Natick Bay State 9 10 62 70 81 80 73 87 240 0.10 80 Ipswich Cape Ann 1 12 86 16 106 83 50 108 241 0.10 81 Braintree Bay State 5 13 66 36 108 86 45 111 242 0.10 82 Foxboro Indep 0 2 129 123 39 101 102 41 244 0.10 83 Georgetown Cape Ann 0 2 132 124 40 102 103 42 247 0.10 84 Walpole Bay State 5 13 77 46 109 88 52 109 249 0.10 85 Leominster 0 2 131 125 41 103 104 43 250 0.10 86 Weston Dual County 8 10 64 56 90 81 83 88 252 0.10 87 Newton South Dual County 4 16 84 28 126 87 46 124 257 0.10 88 West Springfield WestMass 5 13 78 57 111 90 63 106 259 0.10 89 Westwood TriVal 3 10 100 72 96 89 76 97 262 0.10 90 Lynnfield Cape Ann 4 5 96 105 68 78 119 66 263 0.10 91 Groton-Dunstable CentMass 7 10 79 88 93 82 81 101 264 0.10 92 Nauset Maritime 9 8 89 108 78 85 107 79 271 0.10 93 Canton Hocomock 7 11 67 38 82 77 115 81 273 0.10 94 East Longmeadow WestMass 8 10 69 55 77 76 127 72 275 0.10 95 Lynn-English North Shore 5 10 88 89 94 92 84 99 275 0.10 96 Archbishop Willi Catholic 4 3 104 132 43 107 134 36 277 0.10 97 Sacred Heart-Kin Catholic 2 2 117 133 36 110 132 38 280 0.10 98 Plymouth Pilgrim 2 3 112 118 51 105 128 49 282 0.10 99 Blue Hills Vo Te MTLL 0 1 134 119 32 131 123 30 284 0.10 100 Dedham Bay State 3 13 92 52 110 104 70 112 286 0.10 101 Medford Greater Bosto 4 13 98 81 114 100 69 117 286 0.10 102 Wakefield Middlesex 9 10 82 95 95 91 99 96 286 0.10 103 Oliver Ames Hocomock 3 13 94 74 121 93 77 121 291 0.10 104 Pentucket Cape Ann 2 7 90 45 79 95 117 82 294 0.10 105 Bourne Maritime 7 13 87 101 117 94 85 116 295 0.10 106 Brookline Bay State 0 19 106 29 134 113 48 134 295 0.10 107 Salem North Shore 1 14 109 64 122 109 60 126 295 0.10 108 Cathedral Spring WestMass 7 11 73 83 102 99 105 94 298 0.10 109 Tyngsborough Merrimack 4 10 80 59 99 96 97 105 298 0.10 110 Medway TriVal 2 16 118 80 131 116 54 130 300 0.10 111 Blackstone Valle MTLL 8 11 116 121 97 98 116 98 312 0.10 112 Mashpee Pilgrim 0 3 127 112 57 133 126 53 312 0.10 113 Assabet Valley T MTLL 2 12 125 116 116 114 90 115 319 0.10 114 Bellingham TriVal 1 17 123 96 133 119 75 133 327 0.10 115 Bedford Dual County 2 13 85 51 113 121 95 113 329 0.10 116 Northbridge CentMass 4 7 110 114 80 120 130 80 330 0.10 117 North Quincy Greater Bosto 3 15 108 73 132 111 88 131 330 0.10 118 Mansfield Hocomock 5 13 93 84 119 106 108 119 333 0.10 119 Wachusett CentMass 2 15 113 90 130 112 89 132 333 0.10 120 Arlington Cathol Catholic 0 6 133 129 76 132 124 78 334 0.10 121 Swampscott North Shore 0 12 119 82 120 118 96 120 334 0.10 122 South Shore Vo T MTLL 3 12 122 117 115 115 106 114 335 0.10 123 Woburn Middlesex 3 14 102 79 129 117 94 128 339 0.10 124 Newburyport Cape Ann 2 9 103 93 98 122 121 100 343 0.10 125 Lynn-Vocational MTLL 1 13 130 128 124 125 101 123 349 0.10 126 Cambridge Rindge Greater Bosto 4 10 99 106 100 127 122 102 351 0.10 127 Quincy Indep 1 10 115 91 107 124 120 107 351 0.10 128 Belmont Middlesex 1 13 105 87 112 128 118 110 356 0.10 129 St Joseph Centra WestMass 0 11 124 62 91 134 131 93 358 0.10 130 Dartmouth Maritime 4 14 111 107 128 123 111 125 359 0.10 131 Lynn-Classical North Shore 1 13 121 102 123 126 112 122 360 0.10 132 Shrewsbury CentMass 4 15 91 65 127 108 125 127 360 0.10 133 Bishop Connolly Maritime 0 12 128 103 118 130 114 118 362 0.10 134 Haverhill Merrimack 1 14 101 58 125 129 109 129 367 0.10