Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Spartans             Coach  =   Rick Hopkins          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.1964264    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Wilmington Laney       NC    Public  ( 9- 7, 93.3)    10- 7   
 406 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Public  ( 7- 9, 84.6)    10- 5   
 407 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    Public  ( 4-10, 81.4)    16- 4   
 419 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 88.2)    11-12  o
 421 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 80.1)    15- 1   
 423 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 81.0)    11- 6   
 427 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (19- 3, 99.9)     6-14   
 429 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 89.0)     7-10   
 505 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 78.4)     7- 6   
 507 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 7, 87.5)     2-12   
 510 H Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-17, 69.1)    14- 2   
 512 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 88.1)     5- 6   
 513 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 82.9)     6- 4   
 517 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 89.7)     6- 7  o
 519 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (19- 4, 95.4)     4- 7   
 520 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 93.4)     3-13   
 524 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 82.9)    10- 9   
 526 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (19- 3, 99.9)     3-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Wilmington Laney       10- 7       3    -5          n/a  
   406 A Wilmington Hoggard     10- 5       5     2          n/a  
   407 A Wilmington New Hanover 16- 4      12     6          n/a  
   419 A West Seneca East       11-12  o   -1     0          -0.30
   421 A Clarence               15- 1      14     7    +      2.59
   423 A Iroquois               11- 6       5     6          -1.53
   427 A Orchard Park            6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00
   429 A Hamburg                 7-10      -3    -1          -1.52
   505 H Williamsville South     7- 6       1    10    ---   -9.00
   507 H Frontier                2-12     -10     1    ---  -11.52
   510 H Jamestown              14- 2      12    19           0.00
   512 H Sweet Home              5- 6      -1     0          -1.88
   513 H Lancaster               6- 4       2     6    --    -4.11
   517 A West Seneca West        6- 7  o   -1    -2           1.23
   519 A Amherst                 4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.91
   520 H Williamsville East      3-13     -10    -4    --    -5.57
   524 H Lancaster              10- 9       1     6    --    -5.11
   526 A Orchard Park            3-14     -11   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Williamsville South     7- 6       1    10    ---   -9.00
   507 H Frontier                2-12     -10     1    ---  -11.52
   513 H Lancaster               6- 4       2     6    --    -4.11
   520 H Williamsville East      3-13     -10    -4    --    -5.57
   524 H Lancaster              10- 9       1     6    --    -5.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Wilmington Laney       10- 7       3    -5    +++        
   519 A Amherst                 4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.91
   406 A Wilmington Hoggard     10- 5       5     2    +          
   407 A Wilmington New Hanover 16- 4      12     6    +          
   421 A Clarence               15- 1      14     7    +      2.59
   427 A Orchard Park            6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.24 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.46 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/