Region = CT 1 FCIAC Nickname = T Warriors Coach = Paul McNultyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.8311691 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Westhill CT 2 FCIAC ( 2-14, 78.6) 13- 2 410 H Fairfield Prep CT 1 SCIAC (14- 6, 95.2) 7- 6 415 A Yorktown NY B Sec 1 (16- 4, 97.7) 3- 5 417 H Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC (11- 7, 91.9) 5- 1 420 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC (11- 8, 93.6) 9- 7 424 H St Anthony's NY Cath (16- 5, 96.3) 11- 9 427 A Danbury CT 2 FCIAC ( 8- 9, 87.7) 12- 4 501 A Darien CT 1 FCIAC (19- 3, 99.9) 4- 7 504 A Fairfield CT 1 FCIAC ( 5-11, 85.5) 12- 5 508 A Greenwich CT 1 FCIAC (13- 6, 94.0) 7- 5 511 H New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (16- 6, 94.6) 9- 5 515 H Ridgefield CT 1 FCIAC ( 5-12, 85.4) 13- 7 518 A Staples-Westport CT 1 FCIAC ( 7-10, 86.4) 9- 8 521 A Stamford CT 2 FCIAC ( 0-14, 75.8) 16- 0 522 A Barlow-Redding CT 1 SWCIAC (16- 4, 94.5) 10- 5 525 H St Joseph-Trumbull CT 2 FCIAC ( 4-12, 81.7) 13- 1 528 H Staples-Westport CT 1 FCIAC ( 7-10, 86.4) 15- 2 601 N Greenwich CT 1 FCIAC (13- 6, 94.0) 9- 6 603 N Darien CT 1 FCIAC (19- 3, 99.9) 7-12 605 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC (11- 8, 93.6) 9- 6 608 H Somers CT 1 NWCIAC (17- 3, 95.0) 12- 5 610 N Barlow-Redding CT 1 SWCIAC (16- 4, 94.5) 9- 2 612 A New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (16- 6, 94.6) 9- 6PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Westhill 13- 2 11 20 n/a 410 H Fairfield Prep 7- 6 1 3 - -2.82 415 A Yorktown 3- 5 -2 -1 n/a 417 H Norwalk 5- 1 4 7 - -3.13 420 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk 9- 7 2 5 - -3.41 424 H St Anthony's 11- 9 2 2 n/a 427 A Danbury 12- 4 8 9 n/a 501 A Darien 4- 7 -3 -3 0.18 504 A Fairfield 12- 5 7 11 - -3.00 508 A Greenwich 7- 5 2 2 -0.70 511 H New Canaan 9- 5 4 4 -0.41 515 H Ridgefield 13- 7 6 13 -- -4.00 518 A Staples-Westport 9- 8 1 10 --- -9.00 521 A Stamford 16- 0 16 21 n/a 522 A Barlow-Redding 10- 5 5 2 + 2.74 525 H St Joseph-Trumbull 13- 1 12 17 n/a 528 H Staples-Westport 15- 2 13 12 0.00 601 N Greenwich 9- 6 3 3 -0.87 603 N Darien 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.98 605 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk 9- 6 3 5 - -2.41 608 H Somers 12- 5 7 4 + 2.96 610 N Barlow-Redding 9- 2 7 3 + 3.57 612 A New Canaan 9- 6 3 2 0.93UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 518 A Staples-Westport 9- 8 1 10 --- -9.00 515 H Ridgefield 13- 7 6 13 -- -4.00 410 H Fairfield Prep 7- 6 1 3 - -2.82 417 H Norwalk 5- 1 4 7 - -3.13 420 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk 9- 7 2 5 - -3.41 504 A Fairfield 12- 5 7 11 - -3.00 603 N Darien 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.98 605 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk 9- 6 3 5 - -2.41OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 A Barlow-Redding 10- 5 5 2 + 2.74 608 H Somers 12- 5 7 4 + 2.96 610 N Barlow-Redding 9- 2 7 3 + 3.57/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.88 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 80.09 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 1 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating.230.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 1 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 20- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 15- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.7