Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Vic Guadagnino        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7871552    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 N Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  (12- 7, 85.4)    12-11   
 330 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 78.5)     8- 9   
 402 H Sachem                 NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)     0-11   
 403 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.3)    10- 8   
 407 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-17, 68.0)    12- 4   
 410 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.7)     5- 3   
 415 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     3- 8   
 416 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 82.8)    13- 9   
 419 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 93.6)     7-16   
 422 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.5)     8- 6   
 426 H Copaigue               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 75.1)    14- 1   
 428 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.6)    16- 8   
 430 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 79.2)    19- 5   
 504 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.8)    12- 6   
 506 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.2)    16- 9   
 512 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 68.9)    13- 4   
 514 H Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 9, 85.7)     8- 7   
 519 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 82.8)    14-10   
 521 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 91.6)     4-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 N Half Hollow Hills West 12-11       1     2          -1.25
   330 H North Babylon           8- 9      -1     9    ---  -10.25
   402 H Sachem                  0-11     -11    -4    --    -5.87
   403 A West Babylon           10- 8       2     8    ---   -6.29
   407 A Walt Whitman           12- 4       8    19    -     -2.00
   410 A Middle Country          5- 3       2     2          -0.84
   415 A West Islip              3- 8      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   416 A Connetquot             13- 9       4     4          -0.78
   419 H Ward Melville           7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.13
   422 H East Islip              8- 6       2     1           0.83
   426 H Copaigue               14- 1      13    12           0.00
   428 A Patchogue-Medford      16- 8       8     7           0.01
   430 A Riverhead              19- 5      14     8           1.69
   504 H Longwood               12- 6       6    14    --    -4.00
   506 A Lindenhurst            16- 9       7     1    ++     5.64
   512 A Brentwood              13- 4       9    18          -1.00
   514 H Smithtown               8- 7       1     1          -0.97
   519 H Connetquot             14-10       4     4          -0.94
   521 A Northport               4-10      -6    -4          -1.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H North Babylon           8- 9      -1     9    ---  -10.25
   403 A West Babylon           10- 8       2     8    ---   -6.29
   402 H Sachem                  0-11     -11    -4    --    -5.87
   504 H Longwood               12- 6       6    14    --    -4.00
   407 A Walt Whitman           12- 4       8    19    -     -2.00
   419 H Ward Melville           7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A West Islip              3- 8      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   506 A Lindenhurst            16- 9       7     1    ++     5.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.64 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.42 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/