Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.7274857    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Canisius               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 88.2)     8- 6   
 419 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 89.0)     7- 6   
 421 A Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-17, 69.1)    11- 1   
 422 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (19- 3, 99.9)     3- 7   
 424 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 87.0)     4- 9   
 427 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (19- 4, 95.4)     8- 9  o
 429 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 78.4)    10- 2   
 430 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 88.2)    11- 5   
 505 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 89.7)     8- 5   
 508 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.8)    12-14   
 510 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 88.1)     6- 2   
 511 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 81.0)    12- 1   
 512 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 7, 87.5)     8- 5   
 517 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 80.1)    12- 7   
 519 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 82.9)    10- 1   
 520 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 88.2)    13- 3   
 524 N Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 81.0)    11- 2   
 526 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 89.0)     6- 4   
 528 N Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (19- 4, 95.4)     4- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Canisius                8- 6       2     5    -     -4.00
   419 H Hamburg                 7- 6       1     5    --    -4.22
   421 A Jamestown              11- 1      10    23           0.00
   422 A Orchard Park            3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.22
   424 A Cicero-North Syracuse   4- 9      -5     5          n/a  
   427 A Amherst                 8- 9  o   -1    -2           1.72
   429 H Williamsville South    10- 2       8    15    -     -2.00
   430 A West Seneca East       11- 5       6     4           1.51
   505 H West Seneca West        8- 5       3     4          -1.48
   508 A Grand Island           12-14      -2    -1          -0.84
   510 H Sweet Home              6- 2       4     6    -     -2.07
   511 H Iroquois               12- 1      11    13           0.00
   512 A Frontier                8- 5       3     5    -     -2.20
   517 A Clarence               12- 7       5    12    --    -5.00
   519 H Lancaster              10- 1       9    11          -1.00
   520 A Williamsville North    13- 3      10     4    ++     5.57
   524 N Iroquois               11- 2       9    12          -1.00
   526 H Hamburg                 6- 4       2     5    -     -3.22
   528 N Amherst                 4- 5      -1    -1           0.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Cicero-North Syracuse   4- 9      -5     5    ---        
   419 H Hamburg                 7- 6       1     5    --    -4.22
   517 A Clarence               12- 7       5    12    --    -5.00
   401 H Canisius                8- 6       2     5    -     -4.00
   429 H Williamsville South    10- 2       8    15    -     -2.00
   510 H Sweet Home              6- 2       4     6    -     -2.07
   512 A Frontier                8- 5       3     5    -     -2.20
   526 H Hamburg                 6- 4       2     5    -     -3.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Williamsville North    13- 3      10     4    ++     5.57
   422 A Orchard Park            3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.43 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.29 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/