Region = CT 2  SCIAC            
   Nickname = T Blue Devils          Coach  =   Chris Guarino         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.6411285    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 415 A Hamden                 CT 2  SCIAC   ( 3-14, 78.8)     5- 4   
 416 A Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 89.1)     4-13   
 419 A Fairfield Prep         CT 1  SCIAC   (14- 6, 95.2)     4-16   
 424 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 91.5)    10-11  o
 427 A St Bernard             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 1-14, 74.0)     4- 1   
 501 H Branford               CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 95.4)     2- 9   
 503 H Norwich Tech           CT 2  Indep   ( 0-14, 70.2)    16- 3   
 504 H Cheshire HS            CT 1  SCIAC   (11- 9, 89.7)     5- 9   
 506 A North Haven            CT 2  SCIAC   ( 4-12, 80.5)     6- 2   
 511 H Masuk-Monroe           CT 2  SWCIAC  (13- 7, 93.1)     7- 9   
 513 A Morgan-Clinton         CT 2  Indep   ( 7-10, 84.8)     2- 9   
 515 A Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 5-11, 81.8)     6-14   
 517 H Stamford               CT 2  FCIAC   ( 0-14, 75.8)     8- 2   
 518 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 95.8)     2-15   
 520 A Xavier-Middletown      CT 1  SCIAC   ( 5-11, 80.5)     5-13   
 528 H Rockville              CT 2  CCIAC   ( 3-13, 76.8)     7- 3   
 601 N Hamden                 CT 2  SCIAC   ( 3-14, 78.8)    10- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Hamden                  5- 4       1     3    -     -2.88
   416 A Amity Regional          4-13      -9    -6          n/a  
   419 A Fairfield Prep          4-16     -12   -12          n/a  
   424 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   10-11  o   -1    -7    +++    6.35
   427 A St Bernard              4- 1       3     8    --    -5.67
   501 H Branford                2- 9      -7   -11          n/a  
   503 H Norwich Tech           16- 3      13    13           0.00
   504 H Cheshire HS             5- 9      -4    -5          n/a  
   506 A North Haven             6- 2       4     2           1.78
   511 H Masuk-Monroe            7- 9      -2    -8    +++    6.95
   513 A Morgan-Clinton          2- 9      -7    -2    --    -4.88
   515 A Guilford                6-14      -8     0          n/a  
   517 H Stamford                8- 2       6     8    -     -2.31
   518 A Daniel Hand-Madison     2-15     -13   -13          n/a  
   520 A Xavier-Middletown       5-13      -8     1          n/a  
   528 H Rockville               7- 3       4     7    -     -3.32
   601 N Hamden                 10- 6       4     4          -0.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Guilford                6-14      -8     0    ---        
   520 A Xavier-Middletown       5-13      -8     1    ---        
   427 A St Bernard              4- 1       3     8    --    -5.67
   513 A Morgan-Clinton          2- 9      -7    -2    --    -4.88
   415 A Hamden                  5- 4       1     3    -     -2.88
   416 A Amity Regional          4-13      -9    -6    -          
   517 H Stamford                8- 2       6     8    -     -2.31
   528 H Rockville               7- 3       4     7    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   10-11  o   -1    -7    +++    6.35
   511 H Masuk-Monroe            7- 9      -2    -8    +++    6.95
   501 H Branford                2- 9      -7   -11    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.41 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.22 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/