Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Matt Petz             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.8013306    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (17- 2, 96.7)    10-15   
 410 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 89.0)    11- 7   
 415 N Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (19- 4, 95.4)     9- 6   
 417 H Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (17- 6, 93.4)     7- 8   
 422 H Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 95.0)     5-12   
 424 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 80.1)    10- 9  o
 426 H Eastridge              NY B  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 71.8)    17- 2   
 428 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 7, 90.4)    11- 9   
 501 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   (12- 4, 88.6)    15-11   
 504 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 91.0)     7-11   
 505 H Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   (12- 8, 85.1)    17- 7   
 506 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (17- 2, 96.7)     7-13   
 508 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 7, 90.4)     5-13   
 511 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 95.0)     6-11   
 513 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 80.1)    13- 7   
 515 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 91.0)    10-11  o
 520 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 95.0)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Penfield               10-15      -5    -7    +      3.00
   410 A Hamburg                11- 7       4    -1          n/a  
   415 N Amherst                 9- 6       3    -7          n/a  
   417 H Penn Yan                7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.70
   422 H Irondequoit             5-12      -7    -6          -0.66
   424 A Rush-Henrietta         10- 9  o    1     7    ---   -6.77
   426 H Eastridge              17- 2      15    16           0.00
   428 H Pittsford              11- 9       2    -1    +      3.71
   501 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     15-11       4     0    ++     4.74
   504 A Fairport                7-11      -4    -3          -0.92
   505 H Brighton               17- 7      10     3    +++    6.37
   506 A Penfield                7-13      -6    -8    +      2.79
   508 A Pittsford               5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.49
   511 A Irondequoit             6-11      -5    -7    +      2.13
   513 H Rush-Henrietta         13- 7       6     8    -     -2.57
   515 A Fairport               10-11  o   -1    -3    +      2.08
   520 A Irondequoit             9-15      -6    -7           1.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Rush-Henrietta         10- 9  o    1     7    ---   -6.77
   508 A Pittsford               5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.49
   513 H Rush-Henrietta         13- 7       6     8    -     -2.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 N Amherst                 9- 6       3    -7    +++        
   505 H Brighton               17- 7      10     3    +++    6.37
   410 A Hamburg                11- 7       4    -1    ++         
   501 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     15-11       4     0    ++     4.74
   408 H Penfield               10-15      -5    -7    +      3.00
   417 H Penn Yan                7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.70
   428 H Pittsford              11- 9       2    -1    +      3.71
   506 A Penfield                7-13      -6    -8    +      2.79
   511 A Irondequoit             6-11      -5    -7    +      2.13
   515 A Fairport               10-11  o   -1    -3    +      2.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.30 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.97 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/