Region = VA    Jeffsn           
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Duffy Birckhead       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Woodberry Forest       VA 1  VIP     (13- 4, 98.0)     6-10   
 330 H Covenant               VA 2  VIC     (21- 5, 99.9)     8-15   
 423 H Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 7- 6, 90.3)     9- 4   
 427 A St Annes-Belfield      VA 1  VIP     (17- 4, 98.0)     4- 7   
 430 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA    NoWest  ( 6- 8, 82.1)    13- 2   
 505 A Covenant               VA 2  VIC     (21- 5, 99.9)     9-11   
 508 H Albemarle              VA    Comw    (17- 3, 99.9)    13- 7   
 510 H Fauquier County        VA    NoWest  ( 0-12, 70.9)    18- 2   
 512 A Salem                  VA    RivRdg  (14- 5, 91.3)     9- 6   
 514 H Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 9- 5, 91.3)    12- 7   
 518 A Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 2-13, 77.1)    16- 5   
 527 N Liberty-Bealeton       VA    NoWest  ( 6- 8, 82.1)    17- 1   
 528 H Salem                  VA    RivRdg  (14- 5, 91.3)    15- 3   
 601 H Broad Run              VA    Dulles  (14- 4, 94.9)    13- 5   
 603 A Loudoun Valley         VA    Dulles  (17- 0, 99.9)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Woodberry Forest        6-10      -4    -1          n/a  
   330 H Covenant                8-15      -7    -2          n/a  
   423 H Monticello              9- 4       5     6          -1.77
   427 A St Annes-Belfield       4- 7      -3    -3          n/a  
   430 A Liberty-Bealeton       13- 2      11    12           0.00
   505 A Covenant                9-11      -2    -6          n/a  
   508 H Albemarle              13- 7       6    -3          n/a  
   510 H Fauquier County        18- 2      16    26           0.00
   512 A Salem                   9- 6       3     2           0.02
   514 H Charlottesville        12- 7       5     5          -0.73
   518 A Rockbridge County      16- 5      11    17           0.00
   527 N Liberty-Bealeton       17- 1      16    13           0.00
   528 H Salem                  15- 3      12     5    ++     4.22
   601 H Broad Run              13- 5       8     2    ++     5.86
   603 A Loudoun Valley          5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Covenant                8-15      -7    -2    --         
   326 H Woodberry Forest        6-10      -4    -1    -          
   603 A Loudoun Valley          5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Albemarle              13- 7       6    -3    +++        
   505 A Covenant                9-11      -2    -6    ++         
   528 H Salem                  15- 3      12     5    ++     4.22
   601 H Broad Run              13- 5       8     2    ++     5.86
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.68 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.68 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   51.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/