Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Joe Cuozzo            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5364838    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 83.4)    12- 6   
 401 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.6)    13- 1   
 403 H Yorktown               NY B  Sec 1   (16- 4, 97.7)    13- 6   
 407 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.2)    10- 4   
 414 H Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 73.2)    20- 4   
 416 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 91.6)     8-14   
 419 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 87.6)    16- 7   
 422 A Sachem                 NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)     5- 4   
 424 H Massapequa             NY A  Sec 8   (12- 5, 91.9)     7- 9   
 427 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.2)    15- 5   
 428 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     5-10   
 430 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 82.8)    16- 5   
 504 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.9)    12- 4   
 506 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.7)    11- 0   
 513 A Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 9, 85.7)     7- 8   
 514 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.5)    11- 4   
 521 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.7)     9- 2   
 525 N West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     4- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Bay Shore              12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   401 A Patchogue-Medford      13- 1      12    13           0.00
   403 H Yorktown               13- 6       7    -3          n/a  
   407 A Lindenhurst            10- 4       6     7          -1.31
   414 H Bellport               20- 4      16    20           0.00
   416 H Northport               8-14      -6     2    ---   -8.04
   419 A William Floyd          16- 7       9     5    +      3.13
   422 A Sachem                  5- 4       1     1          -0.66
   424 H Massapequa              7- 9      -2     1          n/a  
   427 H Half Hollow Hills East 15- 5      10     8           1.57
   428 H West Islip              5-10      -5    -6           1.23
   430 A Connetquot             16- 5      11    10           0.00
   504 A Commack                12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00
   506 H Middle Country         11- 0      11     8           1.06
   513 A Smithtown               7- 8      -1     7    ---   -8.76
   514 A East Islip             11- 4       7     6           0.04
   521 H Middle Country          9- 2       7     8          -1.94
   525 N West Islip              4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Northport               8-14      -6     2    ---   -8.04
   513 A Smithtown               7- 8      -1     7    ---   -8.76
   330 H Bay Shore              12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   424 H Massapequa              7- 9      -2     1    -          
   504 A Commack                12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Yorktown               13- 6       7    -3    +++        
   419 A William Floyd          16- 7       9     5    +      3.13
   525 N West Islip              4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.31
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.59 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.07 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   12.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/