Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Jeff Cornick          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.4160004    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 N Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 87.0)    12- 6   
 330 H Maine-Endwell          NY B  Sec 4   (11- 7, 84.3)    18- 9   
 401 A Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   ( 6-10, 80.1)    12- 7   
 402 N Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (14- 6, 95.9)     3- 6   
 406 A Corning East           NY B  Sec 4   (19- 1, 99.9)     7-13   
 408 A Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 86.2)    12-10   
 421 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (16- 3, 97.0)     5-10   
 423 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 4-15, 81.4)    13- 7   
 427 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   (10-10, 87.6)    13-12   
 430 H Corning East           NY B  Sec 4   (19- 1, 99.9)    12-13  o
 504 H Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 86.2)     7- 5   
 507 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (16- 3, 97.0)     1- 7   
 511 H Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 84.1)    16- 8   
 513 H Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 3-15, 75.8)    14- 8   
 518 A Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 4-15, 81.4)    10- 9   
 520 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   (10-10, 87.6)     8- 7  o
 525 H Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 86.2)     7- 3   
 527 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (16- 3, 97.0)     4- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 N Auburn                 12- 6       6     4          n/a  
   330 H Maine-Endwell          18- 9       9     7           1.37
   401 A Chenango Forks         12- 7       5     9    --    -4.86
   402 N Guilderland             3- 6      -3    -4          n/a  
   406 A Corning East            7-13      -6    -9    +      3.91
   408 A Binghamton             12-10       2     3          -1.79
   421 H Ithaca                  5-10      -5    -4          -0.02
   423 H Union-Endicott         13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   427 H Horseheads             13-12       1     4    -     -3.33
   430 H Corning East           12-13  o   -1    -7    +++    6.93
   504 H Binghamton              7- 5       2     5    -     -3.77
   507 A Ithaca                  1- 7      -6    -6           0.96
   511 H Corning West           16- 8       8     7           0.16
   513 H Owego Free Academy     14- 8       6    16    --    -4.00
   518 A Union-Endicott         10- 9       1     8    ---   -7.56
   520 A Horseheads              8- 7  o    1     2          -1.35
   525 H Binghamton              7- 3       4     5          -1.77
   527 A Ithaca                  4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A Union-Endicott         10- 9       1     8    ---   -7.56
   401 A Chenango Forks         12- 7       5     9    --    -4.86
   423 H Union-Endicott         13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   513 H Owego Free Academy     14- 8       6    16    --    -4.00
   427 H Horseheads             13-12       1     4    -     -3.33
   504 H Binghamton              7- 5       2     5    -     -3.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Corning East           12-13  o   -1    -7    +++    6.93
   406 A Corning East            7-13      -6    -9    +      3.91
   527 A Ithaca                  4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.98 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.78 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.200.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/