Conf =  Pitt                      Region = NJ    Grp-III          
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Matt Severino         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.5311737    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Notre Dame             NJ    Grp-III ( 8- 6, 79.6)     7- 9   
 405 H AL Johnson/Clark       NJ    Grp-II  ( 8- 9, 84.6)     1-12   
 408 H Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  ( 2-16, 68.6)    14- 2   
 410 A Hillsborough           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 3-16, 76.8)     2- 3   
 412 A East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 9- 9, 79.9)     8- 9   
 414 H North Hunterdon        NJ    Grp-III ( 2-16, 75.9)     1- 5   
 417 H Moorestown             NJ    Grp-II  (12- 7, 91.7)     1-11   
 419 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (16- 2, 98.2)     2-20   
 422 A North Brunswick        NJ    Grp-III ( 8-10, 78.8)     7- 5   
 423 H Peddie School          NJ    Private (10- 5, 91.4)     2-14   
 427 H Edison                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 1-15, 63.7)    16-10   
 428 A Hunterdon Central      NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 5, 91.9)     3- 8   
 503 A South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (15- 4, 85.8)     2- 5   
 505 H Princeton HS           NJ    Grp-II  ( 5-12, 81.5)     3- 8   
 508 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 5, 92.2)     2-14   
 517 H Edison                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 1-15, 63.7)    21- 3   
 519 A Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-III (12- 7, 87.2)     3-13   
 524 A East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 9- 9, 79.9)    11- 5   
 528 A South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (15- 4, 85.8)    10- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Notre Dame              7- 9      -2     0          -1.21
   405 H AL Johnson/Clark        1-12     -11    -5    --    -4.21
   408 H Old Bridge             14- 2      12    10           0.00
   410 A Hillsborough            2- 3      -1     0          -1.43
   412 A East Brunswick          8- 9      -1    -2           1.65
   414 H North Hunterdon         1- 5      -4     2    ---   -6.91
   417 H Moorestown              1-11     -10   -12           0.00
   419 A Lawrenceville           2-20     -18   -20           0.00
   422 A North Brunswick         7- 5       2    -1    +      3.56
   423 H Peddie School           2-14     -12   -12           0.00
   427 H Edison                 16-10       6    15    --    -4.00
   428 A Hunterdon Central       3- 8      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   503 A South Brunswick         2- 5      -3    -8    ++     5.59
   505 H Princeton HS            3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.30
   508 A Christian Bros          2-14     -12   -14           0.00
   517 H Edison                 21- 3      18    15           0.00
   519 A Don Bosco Prep          3-13     -10    -9          -0.08
   524 A East Brunswick         11- 5       6    -2    +++    8.65
   528 A South Brunswick        10- 5       5    -8    +++   13.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H North Hunterdon         1- 5      -4     2    ---   -6.91
   405 H AL Johnson/Clark        1-12     -11    -5    --    -4.21
   427 H Edison                 16-10       6    15    --    -4.00
   505 H Princeton HS            3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 A East Brunswick         11- 5       6    -2    +++    8.65
   528 A South Brunswick        10- 5       5    -8    +++   13.59
   428 A Hunterdon Central       3- 8      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   503 A South Brunswick         2- 5      -3    -8    ++     5.59
   422 A North Brunswick         7- 5       2    -1    +      3.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.02 Local Power Rank...........    63
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.27 Local SOS Rank.............    43
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    74
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    96
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    86
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/