Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Mike Greco            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.4050446    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 81.0)    12- 5   
 407 N Menlo School           CA    PAL     (17- 6, 95.1)     3- 9   
 407 A Whitman                MD 43 West    (11- 6, 87.6)    10- 9   
 407 N Walter Johnson         MD 43 West    (13- 4, 88.1)    10- 5   
 409 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (16- 6, 96.7)     5-11   
 410 A Archbishop Curley      MD B  MIAA    ( 8-10, 84.8)    11- 4   
 416 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 88.2)    11- 8   
 420 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 66.1)    15- 1   
 422 H Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-17, 64.4)    18- 3   
 426 H Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 77.0)    14- 2   
 428 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-11, 77.9)    17- 3   
 429 A Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 79.4)    14- 3   
 501 H Nichols                NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.4)    11-12 2o
 503 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (10- 9, 81.9)     9- 5   
 506 A Timon St Jude          NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 93.6)     2- 9   
 508 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 78.4)    13- 3   
 510 A Canisius               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 88.2)     6- 8   
 514 A Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   (14- 7, 88.1)    14- 5   
 515 H Aquinas Institute      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 7, 86.2)    12- 6   
 518 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.8)     9-10  o
 524 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 76.8)    13- 5   
 525 A Nichols                NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.4)    10- 7   
 527 A Timon St Jude          NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 93.6)    14- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Iroquois               12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   407 N Menlo School            3- 9      -6    -2          n/a  
   407 A Whitman                10- 9       1     4          n/a  
   407 N Walter Johnson         10- 5       5     4          n/a  
   409 A Gonzaga                 5-11      -6    -4          n/a  
   410 A Archbishop Curley      11- 4       7     7          n/a  
   416 H West Seneca East       11- 8       3     5    -     -2.47
   420 H Silver Creek           15- 1      14    27           0.00
   422 H Akron                  18- 3      15    29           0.00
   426 H Medina                 14- 2      12    16           0.00
   428 H Niagara Wheatfield     17- 3      14    15           0.00
   429 A Salamanca              14- 3      11    12           0.00
   501 H Nichols                11-12 2o   -1     2    -     -3.26
   503 A East Aurora             9- 5       4    10    ---   -6.00
   506 A Timon St Jude           2- 9      -7    -1    --    -5.52
   508 H Williamsville South    13- 3      10    15           0.00
   510 A Canisius                6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.94
   514 A Gowanda                14- 5       9     4    ++     4.97
   515 H Aquinas Institute      12- 6       6     7          n/a  
   518 H Grand Island            9-10  o   -1     0          -0.81
   524 H St Joseph Collegiate   13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00
   525 A Nichols                10- 7       3     0    +      2.25
   527 A Timon St Jude          14- 5       9    -1    +++   10.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A East Aurora             9- 5       4    10    ---   -6.00
   506 A Timon St Jude           2- 9      -7    -1    --    -5.52
   510 A Canisius                6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.94
   331 A Iroquois               12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   407 N Menlo School            3- 9      -6    -2    -          
   407 A Whitman                10- 9       1     4    -          
   416 H West Seneca East       11- 8       3     5    -     -2.47
   501 H Nichols                11-12 2o   -1     2    -     -3.26
   524 H St Joseph Collegiate   13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   527 A Timon St Jude          14- 5       9    -1    +++   10.48
   514 A Gowanda                14- 5       9     4    ++     4.97
   525 A Nichols                10- 7       3     0    +      2.25
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.90 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.40 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/