Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Rick Mercurio         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.1490784    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.9)    14- 4   
 402 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 87.6)    11- 0   
 407 A Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 9, 85.7)    11-10  o
 410 A Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  (17- 1, 95.6)     5- 9   
 414 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-17, 68.0)    21- 6   
 416 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     3-11   
 420 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.6)    10- 1   
 422 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 93.6)     4- 5   
 424 N Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   (13- 7, 90.8)     2- 8   
 428 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 91.6)    15- 5   
 430 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.5)    10- 5   
 501 H Syosset                NY A  Sec 8   ( 6-10, 84.4)    11- 3   
 504 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 83.4)     7- 5   
 506 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.2)    14- 6   
 507 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.7)     9- 4   
 510 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 82.8)     6- 3   
 512 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.2)    13- 5   
 521 H Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 9, 85.7)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Commack                14- 4      10    12           0.00
   402 A William Floyd          11- 0      11     4    ++     5.87
   407 A Smithtown              11-10  o    1     6    --    -5.02
   410 A Comsewogue              5- 9      -4    -3          -0.18
   414 H Walt Whitman           21- 6      15    23           0.00
   416 A West Islip              3-11      -8    -8           0.13
   420 A Patchogue-Medford      10- 1       9    12          -1.00
   422 H Ward Melville           4- 5      -1    -1           0.66
   424 N Farmingdale             2- 8      -6     1          n/a  
   428 H Northport              15- 5      10     0    +++    9.70
   430 A East Islip             10- 5       5     5          -0.23
   501 H Syosset                11- 3       8     7          n/a  
   504 H Bay Shore               7- 5       2     8    ---   -6.51
   506 H Half Hollow Hills East 14- 6       8     6           1.31
   507 H Middle Country          9- 4       5     7    -     -2.21
   510 A Connetquot              6- 3       3     8    --    -6.00
   512 A Lindenhurst            13- 5       8     5    +      2.42
   521 H Smithtown               5- 7      -2     6    ---   -8.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 N Farmingdale             2- 8      -6     1    ---        
   504 H Bay Shore               7- 5       2     8    ---   -6.51
   521 H Smithtown               5- 7      -2     6    ---   -8.18
   407 A Smithtown              11-10  o    1     6    --    -5.02
   510 A Connetquot              6- 3       3     8    --    -6.00
   507 H Middle Country          9- 4       5     7    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Northport              15- 5      10     0    +++    9.70
   402 A William Floyd          11- 0      11     4    ++     5.87
   512 A Lindenhurst            13- 5       8     5    +      2.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.85 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.65 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/