Conf = Div I Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows Coach = Rick MercurioGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.1490784 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 330 H Commack NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 78.9) 14- 4 402 A William Floyd NY A Sec 11 (14- 5, 87.6) 11- 0 407 A Smithtown NY A Sec 11 (11- 9, 85.7) 11-10 o 410 A Comsewogue NY B Sec 11 (17- 1, 95.6) 5- 9 414 H Walt Whitman NY A Sec 11 ( 0-17, 68.0) 21- 6 416 A West Islip NY A Sec 11 (22- 1, 99.9) 3-11 420 A Patchogue-Medford NY A Sec 11 ( 7-10, 79.6) 10- 1 422 H Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (13- 5, 93.6) 4- 5 424 N Farmingdale NY A Sec 8 (13- 7, 90.8) 2- 8 428 H Northport NY A Sec 11 (15- 5, 91.6) 15- 5 430 A East Islip NY A Sec 11 (12- 7, 86.5) 10- 5 501 H Syosset NY A Sec 8 ( 6-10, 84.4) 11- 3 504 H Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 ( 7-10, 83.4) 7- 5 506 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A Sec 11 (10- 8, 85.2) 14- 6 507 H Middle Country NY A Sec 11 (10- 8, 84.7) 9- 4 510 A Connetquot NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 82.8) 6- 3 512 A Lindenhurst NY A Sec 11 (11- 7, 86.2) 13- 5 521 H Smithtown NY A Sec 11 (11- 9, 85.7) 5- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Commack 14- 4 10 12 0.00 402 A William Floyd 11- 0 11 4 ++ 5.87 407 A Smithtown 11-10 o 1 6 -- -5.02 410 A Comsewogue 5- 9 -4 -3 -0.18 414 H Walt Whitman 21- 6 15 23 0.00 416 A West Islip 3-11 -8 -8 0.13 420 A Patchogue-Medford 10- 1 9 12 -1.00 422 H Ward Melville 4- 5 -1 -1 0.66 424 N Farmingdale 2- 8 -6 1 n/a 428 H Northport 15- 5 10 0 +++ 9.70 430 A East Islip 10- 5 5 5 -0.23 501 H Syosset 11- 3 8 7 n/a 504 H Bay Shore 7- 5 2 8 --- -6.51 506 H Half Hollow Hills East 14- 6 8 6 1.31 507 H Middle Country 9- 4 5 7 - -2.21 510 A Connetquot 6- 3 3 8 -- -6.00 512 A Lindenhurst 13- 5 8 5 + 2.42 521 H Smithtown 5- 7 -2 6 --- -8.18UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 N Farmingdale 2- 8 -6 1 --- 504 H Bay Shore 7- 5 2 8 --- -6.51 521 H Smithtown 5- 7 -2 6 --- -8.18 407 A Smithtown 11-10 o 1 6 -- -5.02 510 A Connetquot 6- 3 3 8 -- -6.00 507 H Middle Country 9- 4 5 7 - -2.21OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 H Northport 15- 5 10 0 +++ 9.70 402 A William Floyd 11- 0 11 4 ++ 5.87 512 A Lindenhurst 13- 5 8 5 + 2.42/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.85 Local Power Rank........... 4 Local SOS Rating......... 69.65 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 6 Championship Probability . 7.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0