Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Royal Comets         Coach  =   Mike Gottko           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7509537    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 7, 90.4)     9-15   
 415 H Eastridge              NY B  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 71.8)    18- 2   
 417 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (17- 2, 96.7)     1-15   
 420 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 95.0)     4-16   
 422 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 91.0)     7- 8   
 424 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 88.3)     9-10  o
 427 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   (12- 4, 88.6)     7-10   
 428 H Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (19- 1, 99.9)     1-15   
 429 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 84.8)     3- 9   
 501 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 74.2)    16- 6   
 504 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (17- 2, 96.7)     2-14   
 506 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 7, 90.4)     3-13   
 508 H Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 95.0)     3-16   
 511 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 91.0)     5-17   
 513 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 88.3)     7-13   
 514 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 9-10, 81.0)    15- 7   
 518 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 79.9)     7- 5   
 520 N Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (19- 1, 99.9)     3-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Pittsford               9-15      -6    -9    +      3.88
   415 H Eastridge              18- 2      16     8           1.31
   417 A Penfield                1-15     -14   -16           0.00
   420 A Irondequoit             4-16     -12   -15           0.00
   422 A Fairport                7- 8      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   424 H Webster Schroeder       9-10  o   -1    -7    +++    6.77
   427 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.12
   428 H Canandaigua             1-15     -14   -19           0.00
   429 A Webster Thomas          3- 9      -6    -5          -0.93
   501 A Hilton                 16- 6      10     5    ++     4.48
   504 H Penfield                2-14     -12   -16           0.00
   506 A Pittsford               3-13     -10   -10           0.00
   508 H Irondequoit             3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   511 H Fairport                5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   513 A Webster Schroeder       7-13      -6    -8    +      2.57
   514 H Livonia                15- 7       8     0    +++    8.50
   518 A McQuaid Jesuit          7- 5       2     0    +      2.16
   520 N Canandaigua             3-17     -14   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Fairport                7- 8      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   424 H Webster Schroeder       9-10  o   -1    -7    +++    6.77
   514 H Livonia                15- 7       8     0    +++    8.50
   427 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.12
   501 A Hilton                 16- 6      10     5    ++     4.48
   408 H Pittsford               9-15      -6    -9    +      3.88
   513 A Webster Schroeder       7-13      -6    -8    +      2.57
   518 A McQuaid Jesuit          7- 5       2     0    +      2.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.12 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.93 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-13 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-14 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/