Region = NE    East-1           
   Nickname = A Big Blues            Coach  =   John Dugan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.8730316    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 N Western Reserve Acad   OH 1  South   (21- 5, 96.7)     3- 5   
 323 A McDonogh               MD A  MIAA    (18- 5, 99.9)     3-12   
 403 N Bridgeton Academy                                      5-27                                     
 407 H Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 3-15, 74.3)    14- 1   
 410 A Tilton School          NE    North   ( 4-11, 79.2)    10- 2   
 417 H Hyde-Bath              NE    East-1  ( 6- 7, 83.5)    16- 5   
 421 A Holderness             NE    North   (15- 2, 97.5)     3- 6   
 424 A Deerfield              NE 1  West    (16- 1, 99.9)     3-13   
 428 A Tabor Academy          NE    East-1  ( 6- 8, 90.6)    13- 7   
 501 H Loomis Chaffee         NE 1  West    ( 8- 6, 92.1)     9- 8   
 505 H Worcester Academy      NE    East-2  ( 4-10, 75.2)    19- 0   
 508 A Kimball Union          NE    North   ( 9- 4, 91.7)    11- 4   
 512 H Moses Brown            NE    SEast-1 (14- 3, 99.0)     5-11   
 515 A Choate                 NE 1  West    ( 8- 8, 86.5)     8- 9   
 519 A Pomfret                NE    East-1  ( 7- 8, 87.7)     8- 7  o
 522 H Phillips Exeter        NE    East-1  (15- 3, 96.1)    10- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 N Western Reserve Acad    3- 5      -2    -4          n/a  
   323 A McDonogh                3-12      -9    -7          n/a  
   407 H Northfield Mt Hermon   14- 1      13    18          n/a  
   410 A Tilton School          10- 2       8    12    -     -2.00
   417 H Hyde-Bath              16- 5      11     9           0.68
   421 A Holderness              3- 6      -3    -5    +      2.40
   424 A Deerfield               3-13     -10    -8          n/a  
   428 A Tabor Academy          13- 7       6     1    ++     4.56
   501 H Loomis Chaffee          9- 8       1     1          n/a  
   505 H Worcester Academy      19- 0      19    17           0.00
   508 A Kimball Union          11- 4       7     0    +++    6.67
   512 H Moses Brown             5-11      -6    -6           0.23
   515 A Choate                  8- 9      -1     5          n/a  
   519 A Pomfret                 8- 7  o    1     4    -     -3.35
   522 H Phillips Exeter        10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Choate                  8- 9      -1     5    ---        
   410 A Tilton School          10- 2       8    12    -     -2.00
   519 A Pomfret                 8- 7  o    1     4    -     -3.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Kimball Union          11- 4       7     0    +++    6.67
   428 A Tabor Academy          13- 7       6     1    ++     4.56
   522 H Phillips Exeter        10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.33
   322 N Western Reserve Acad    3- 5      -2    -4    +          
   421 A Holderness              3- 6      -3    -5    +      2.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.44 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.09 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/