Region = NY C  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Brian Hobart          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.2477493    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 N Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (19- 4, 95.4)    10- 8   
 403 N Lafayette              NY C  Sec 3   (19- 4, 96.6)     5- 7   
 410 A Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   (13- 5, 88.0)    13- 6   
 413 N Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (16- 4, 93.8)     5- 8   
 415 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 91.0)     9- 5   
 417 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 88.3)     8- 7   
 419 H Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   ( 2-14, 71.0)    19- 2   
 420 A Mynderse Academy       NY C  Sec 5   ( 7- 9, 80.7)    15- 3   
 424 A Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (10- 9, 88.1)    12- 5   
 429 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (11- 8, 85.6)     9- 2   
 501 A Newark                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 4-12, 77.4)    15- 6   
 503 H Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (19- 1, 99.9)     6- 7   
 506 H Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (10- 9, 88.1)    11- 5   
 511 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (11- 8, 85.6)     5- 7   
 513 H Newark                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 4-12, 77.4)    18- 6   
 515 A Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (19- 1, 99.9)     2-15   
 518 H Odyssey-Greece         NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-17, 66.3)    20- 1   
 520 N Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 9-10, 81.0)    12- 5   
 526 N Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (10- 9, 88.1)    12-10   
 529 N Canton Central         NY C  Sec 10  (19- 2, 99.9)     5- 4   
 601 N Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   (14- 7, 88.1)     8- 4   
 603 N Lafayette              NY C  Sec 3   (19- 4, 96.6)     5- 4  o
 605 N Manhasset              NY C  Sec 8   (20- 0, 99.9)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 N Amherst                10- 8       2    -2          n/a  
   403 N Lafayette               5- 7      -2    -3          n/a  
   410 A Waterloo               13- 6       7     5           1.96
   413 N Carthage                5- 8      -3     0          n/a  
   415 H Fairport                9- 5       4     2           1.19
   417 A Webster Schroeder       8- 7       1     4    -     -3.70
   419 H Palmyra-Macedon        19- 2      17    22           0.00
   420 A Mynderse Academy       15- 3      12    12           0.00
   424 A Geneva                 12- 5       7     4    +      2.10
   429 H Victor                  9- 2       7     8          -1.23
   501 A Newark                 15- 6       9    15          -1.00
   503 H Canandaigua             6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.11
   506 H Geneva                 11- 5       6     5           0.31
   511 A Victor                  5- 7      -2     7    ---   -9.43
   513 H Newark                 18- 6      12    16           0.00
   515 A Canandaigua             2-15     -13    -6    -     -3.09
   518 H Odyssey-Greece         20- 1      19    27           0.00
   520 N Livonia                12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   526 N Geneva                 12-10       2     5    -     -3.30
   529 N Canton Central          5- 4       1    -6          n/a  
   601 N Gowanda                 8- 4       4     5          n/a  
   603 N Lafayette               5- 4  o    1    -3          n/a  
   605 N Manhasset               5-13      -8    -6          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Victor                  5- 7      -2     7    ---   -9.43
   413 N Carthage                5- 8      -3     0    -          
   417 A Webster Schroeder       8- 7       1     4    -     -3.70
   515 A Canandaigua             2-15     -13    -6    -     -3.09
   520 N Livonia                12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   526 N Geneva                 12-10       2     5    -     -3.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   529 N Canton Central          5- 4       1    -6    +++        
   327 N Amherst                10- 8       2    -2    ++         
   503 H Canandaigua             6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.11
   603 N Lafayette               5- 4  o    1    -3    ++         
   424 A Geneva                 12- 5       7     4    +      2.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.39 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.32 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/