Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mark Rice             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.3493881    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-14, 80.0)    11- 7   
 408 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 88.3)    15-10   
 410 H Aquinas Institute      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 7, 86.2)    12- 7   
 412 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 79.9)     8- 7   
 417 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 80.1)    15- 1   
 420 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 91.0)     7- 6   
 424 H Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 95.0)     8- 7   
 427 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 84.8)     9- 5   
 429 H Eastridge              NY B  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 71.8)    16- 2   
 501 A Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   (12- 8, 85.1)    18- 5   
 504 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 80.1)    14- 2   
 506 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 88.3)    13- 7   
 508 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 91.0)     9- 8   
 511 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 7, 90.4)    13- 5   
 513 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 95.0)     9- 2   
 515 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 7, 90.4)     7-10   
 520 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 84.8)    18- 7   
 522 N Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 5, 95.0)    10- 9  o
 526 N Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (19- 1, 99.9)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Oswego                 11- 7       4    15          n/a  
   408 A Webster Schroeder      15-10       5     7    -     -3.00
   410 H Aquinas Institute      12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   412 A McQuaid Jesuit          8- 7       1    16    ---   -9.00
   417 H Rush-Henrietta         15- 1      14    16           0.00
   420 H Fairport                7- 6       1     6    --    -5.11
   424 H Irondequoit             8- 7       1     2          -1.06
   427 H Webster Thomas          9- 5       4    12    ---   -6.00
   429 H Eastridge              16- 2      14    25           0.00
   501 A Brighton               18- 5      13    11           0.00
   504 A Rush-Henrietta         14- 2      12    16           0.00
   506 H Webster Schroeder      13- 7       6     8    -     -2.79
   508 A Fairport                9- 8       1     5    --    -4.31
   511 H Pittsford              13- 5       8     6           1.32
   513 A Irondequoit             9- 2       7     1    ++     5.74
   515 A Pittsford               7-10      -3     5    ---   -8.89
   520 H Webster Thomas         18- 7      11    12           0.00
   522 N Irondequoit            10- 9  o    1     1          -0.66
   526 N Canandaigua             7-10      -3    -3           0.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Oswego                 11- 7       4    15    ---        
   412 A McQuaid Jesuit          8- 7       1    16    ---   -9.00
   427 H Webster Thomas          9- 5       4    12    ---   -6.00
   515 A Pittsford               7-10      -3     5    ---   -8.89
   410 H Aquinas Institute      12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   420 H Fairport                7- 6       1     6    --    -5.11
   508 A Fairport                9- 8       1     5    --    -4.31
   408 A Webster Schroeder      15-10       5     7    -     -3.00
   506 H Webster Schroeder      13- 7       6     8    -     -2.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Irondequoit             9- 2       7     1    ++     5.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.69 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.84 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.270.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 15- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/