Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = A Panthers             Coach  =   Dave Gardiner         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.8974838    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Key School             MD B  MIAA    ( 3-14, 79.6)    15- 5   
 318 A Sidwell Friends        DC    MAC     ( 8- 9, 86.0)     7- 6   
 326 A St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (10- 7, 94.1)     7-23   
 329 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (11- 5, 98.9)     2-13   
 330 H Flint Hill             DC    MAC     ( 4-12, 79.7)    11- 5   
 405 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 7-11, 88.7)     8- 6   
 415 A Maret                  DC    MAC     ( 3-11, 77.4)    13- 1   
 417 H St James               DC    MAC     ( 9- 7, 85.0)     9-10   
 419 A St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     ( 8-10, 88.3)     3-15   
 420 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 5-15, 78.3)    18- 7   
 422 H Archbishop Carroll     DC    WCAC    ( 0-14, 71.0)    22- 2   
 424 A McLean                 VA    Lib     (14- 5, 93.2)     7-16   
 424 N Colonial Forge         VA    Comw    ( 8- 8, 85.6)    15- 0   
 427 H Highland School        VA 2  Delaney (14- 5, 91.4)    12-11   
 429 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    (10- 8, 93.7)     9-22   
 501 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (16- 6, 96.7)     5-14   
 502 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (13- 4, 99.9)     4-19   
 506 A St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (10- 7, 94.1)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Key School             15- 5      10     7          n/a  
   318 A Sidwell Friends         7- 6       1     1          -0.37
   326 A St Johns DC             7-23     -16    -6    -     -3.28
   329 H St Marys Ryken          2-13     -11    -9          -0.25
   330 H Flint Hill             11- 5       6     9    -     -3.42
   405 H Bishop O'Connell        8- 6       2     0           1.61
   415 A Maret                  13- 1      12     9           0.04
   417 H St James                9-10      -1     4    --    -5.09
   419 A St Stephen/St Agnes     3-15     -12     0          n/a  
   420 A Bishop Ireton          18- 7      11     9           0.92
   422 H Archbishop Carroll     22- 2      20    18           0.00
   424 A McLean                  7-16      -9    -5          n/a  
   424 N Colonial Forge         15- 0      15     2          n/a  
   427 H Highland School        12-11       1    -1          n/a  
   429 H Our Lady-Good Counsel   9-22     -13    -4    --    -5.38
   501 A Gonzaga                 5-14      -9    -9           0.32
   502 A DeMatha                 4-19     -15   -12           0.00
   506 A St Johns DC             5-11      -6    -6           0.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A St Stephen/St Agnes     3-15     -12     0    ---        
   417 H St James                9-10      -1     4    --    -5.09
   429 H Our Lady-Good Counsel   9-22     -13    -4    --    -5.38
   326 A St Johns DC             7-23     -16    -6    -     -3.28
   330 H Flint Hill             11- 5       6     9    -     -3.42
   424 A McLean                  7-16      -9    -5    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 N Colonial Forge         15- 0      15     2    +++        
   316 A Key School             15- 5      10     7    +          
   427 H Highland School        12-11       1    -1    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.24 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.48 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0
/