Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Raiders              Coach  =   Conrad Bernatsky      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.1916962    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  (11- 7, 82.4)     6- 8   
 326 H Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 73.6)     9- 4   
 330 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.3)     9- 5   
 401 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 93.6)     1-13   
 407 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 68.9)    13- 7   
 412 H Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 73.2)     9- 4   
 414 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 78.5)    11- 5   
 416 A Copaigue               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 75.1)    15- 5   
 420 H Sachem                 NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)     1-10   
 422 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-17, 68.0)    15- 4   
 427 A Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 9, 85.7)     5- 9   
 428 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 87.6)     8-16   
 430 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.2)     4- 8   
 504 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.5)     5- 9   
 506 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.8)     5- 6   
 510 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 79.2)     7- 9   
 512 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 82.8)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Mount Sinai             6- 8      -2    -2           0.72
   326 H Kings Park              9- 4       5     6          -1.06
   330 A West Babylon            9- 5       4     0    +      3.78
   401 H Ward Melville           1-13     -12   -13           0.00
   407 A Brentwood              13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   412 H Bellport                9- 4       5     6          -1.49
   414 A North Babylon          11- 5       6     1    ++     4.98
   416 A Copaigue               15- 5      10     4    ++     5.56
   420 H Sachem                  1-10      -9   -12           1.00
   422 A Walt Whitman           15- 4      11    11           0.00
   427 A Smithtown               5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.26
   428 H William Floyd           8-16      -8    -7          -0.01
   430 H Lindenhurst             4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.55
   504 H East Islip              5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.90
   506 A Longwood                5- 6      -1     6    ---   -7.70
   510 H Riverhead               7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.40
   512 H Connetquot              6-10      -4    -3          -0.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Longwood                5- 6      -1     6    ---   -7.70
   407 A Brentwood              13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   510 H Riverhead               7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A North Babylon          11- 5       6     1    ++     4.98
   416 A Copaigue               15- 5      10     4    ++     5.56
   330 A West Babylon            9- 5       4     0    +      3.78
   427 A Smithtown               5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.26
   430 H Lindenhurst             4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.55
   504 H East Islip              5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.90
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.57 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.72 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/