Region = CT 1  FCIAC            
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Randy McCue           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.9089508    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A New Canaan             CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 6, 94.6)     4- 6   
 410 H Greenwich              CT 1  FCIAC   (13- 6, 94.0)     7- 8   
 414 H Fairfield              CT 1  FCIAC   ( 5-11, 85.5)    11- 6   
 417 A Wilton                 CT 1  FCIAC   (20- 3, 97.9)     1- 5   
 420 A Westhill               CT 2  FCIAC   ( 2-14, 78.6)    14- 1   
 422 A Hall-West Hartford     CT 1  CCIAC   ( 4-12, 80.5)     9- 5   
 424 A Trumbull               CT 2  FCIAC   (11- 8, 92.0)    11-10   
 501 H Staples-Westport       CT 1  FCIAC   ( 7-10, 86.4)    12- 6   
 503 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 95.8)     2- 7   
 504 A Stamford               CT 2  FCIAC   ( 0-14, 75.8)    10- 2   
 506 H St Joseph-Trumbull     CT 2  FCIAC   ( 4-12, 81.7)    15- 1   
 511 A Ridgefield             CT 1  FCIAC   ( 5-12, 85.4)     8- 7  o
 515 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT 1  FCIAC   (11- 8, 93.6)    13- 9   
 518 H Darien                 CT 1  FCIAC   (19- 3, 99.9)     4-12   
 522 A Danbury                CT 2  FCIAC   ( 8- 9, 87.7)    13- 7   
 525 A Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 5-11, 81.8)    17- 3   
 528 A Greenwich              CT 1  FCIAC   (13- 6, 94.0)     3-12   
 605 A Branford               CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 95.4)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A New Canaan              4- 6      -2    -3           1.89
   410 H Greenwich               7- 8      -1     0          -0.07
   414 H Fairfield              11- 6       5     7    -     -2.63
   417 A Wilton                  1- 5      -4    -7    +      3.13
   420 A Westhill               14- 1      13    12          n/a  
   422 A Hall-West Hartford      9- 5       4    10    ---   -6.00
   424 A Trumbull               11-10       1     0          n/a  
   501 H Staples-Westport       12- 6       6     6          -0.69
   503 H Daniel Hand-Madison     2- 7      -5    -2    -     -2.26
   504 A Stamford               10- 2       8    15          n/a  
   506 H St Joseph-Trumbull     15- 1      14    11          n/a  
   511 A Ridgefield              8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.33
   515 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk  13- 9       4    -2    +++    6.89
   518 H Darien                  4-12      -8    -6          -1.19
   522 A Danbury                13- 7       6     3          n/a  
   525 A Guilford               17- 3      14     8           1.05
   528 A Greenwich               3-12      -9    -3    --    -5.74
   605 A Branford                7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Hall-West Hartford      9- 5       4    10    ---   -6.00
   511 A Ridgefield              8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.33
   528 A Greenwich               3-12      -9    -3    --    -5.74
   414 H Fairfield              11- 6       5     7    -     -2.63
   503 H Daniel Hand-Madison     2- 7      -5    -2    -     -2.26
   504 A Stamford               10- 2       8    15    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk  13- 9       4    -2    +++    6.89
   417 A Wilton                  1- 5      -4    -7    +      3.13
   522 A Danbury                13- 7       6     3    +          
   605 A Branford                7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.92 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.46 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
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