Region = CT 2 SWCIAC Nickname = T LancersGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.0400238 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Trumbull CT 2 FCIAC (11- 8, 92.0) 11-20 408 A Bethel CT 2 SWCIAC ( 0-10, 74.7) 17- 5 415 H Newtown CT 1 SWCIAC ( 9-10, 87.2) 10-11 o 417 H St Joseph-Trumbull CT 2 FCIAC ( 4-12, 81.7) 8-11 420 H Old Lyme CT 2 Indep ( 9- 5, 91.2) 12- 6 422 H Pomperaug-Southbury CT 2 SWCIAC ( 1-15, 75.6) 12- 3 424 A West Haven CT 2 SCIAC ( 7-10, 83.4) 11-10 o 426 A Westhill CT 2 FCIAC ( 2-14, 78.6) 15- 9 429 A Weston CT 2 SWCIAC ( 6-10, 85.1) 12-11 o 501 A Immaculate Danbury CT 2 SWCIAC ( 2-11, 78.2) 11- 5 506 A New Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC (13- 6, 93.6) 9-13 512 A Masuk-Monroe CT 2 SWCIAC (13- 7, 93.1) 8- 3 513 A Brookfield CT 2 SWCIAC ( 8-10, 87.0) 11-13 518 A Amity Regional CT 1 SCIAC ( 9- 8, 89.1) 16-15 o 520 A New Milford CT 2 SWCIAC (12- 7, 93.1) 7-14 605 A New Milford CT 2 SWCIAC (12- 7, 93.1) 11-10 o 608 A Northwest Catholic CT 2 NWCIAC (12- 6, 92.1) 7- 5 610 N Masuk-Monroe CT 2 SWCIAC (13- 7, 93.1) 9- 8 o 612 N East Lyme CT 2 ECIAC (21- 1, 99.9) 2-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Trumbull 11-20 -9 0 --- -9.20 408 A Bethel 17- 5 12 16 0.00 415 H Newtown 10-11 o -1 5 n/a 417 H St Joseph-Trumbull 8-11 -3 10 --- -13.00 420 H Old Lyme 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.06 422 H Pomperaug-Southbury 12- 3 9 16 -1.00 424 A West Haven 11-10 o 1 7 --- -6.35 426 A Westhill 15- 9 6 12 -- -4.00 429 A Weston 12-11 o 1 5 -- -4.62 501 A Immaculate Danbury 11- 5 6 12 -- -4.00 506 A New Fairfield 9-13 -4 -2 -1.12 512 A Masuk-Monroe 8- 3 5 -2 +++ 7.32 513 A Brookfield 11-13 -2 3 -- -5.79 518 A Amity Regional 16-15 o 1 1 n/a 520 A New Milford 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.66 605 A New Milford 11-10 o 1 -2 + 3.34 608 A Northwest Catholic 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.32 610 N Masuk-Monroe 9- 8 o 1 -1 + 2.60 612 N East Lyme 2-14 -12 -8 -1.57UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Trumbull 11-20 -9 0 --- -9.20 415 H Newtown 10-11 o -1 5 --- 417 H St Joseph-Trumbull 8-11 -3 10 --- -13.00 424 A West Haven 11-10 o 1 7 --- -6.35 426 A Westhill 15- 9 6 12 -- -4.00 429 A Weston 12-11 o 1 5 -- -4.62 501 A Immaculate Danbury 11- 5 6 12 -- -4.00 513 A Brookfield 11-13 -2 3 -- -5.79 520 A New Milford 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.66OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Masuk-Monroe 8- 3 5 -2 +++ 7.32 420 H Old Lyme 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.06 605 A New Milford 11-10 o 1 -2 + 3.34 608 A Northwest Catholic 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.32 610 N Masuk-Monroe 9- 8 o 1 -1 + 2.60/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.47 Local Power Rank........... 9 Local SOS Rating......... 72.36 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0