Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Todd Faddout          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.0016098    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 419 A Nichols                NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.4)     4-15   
 420 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 76.8)    11- 7   
 422 A Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 77.0)    10-11   
 428 A St Francis             NY A  Sec 6   (17- 6, 92.9)     3-17   
 430 H Timon St Jude          NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 93.6)     6-13   
 501 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 88.1)     9-15   
 503 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 79.4)    15-10   
 504 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (10- 9, 81.9)     8- 9   
 506 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.8)     4-14   
 508 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (19- 4, 95.4)     3-14   
 512 H Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   (14- 7, 88.1)    13-16   
 520 H Canisius               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 88.2)    12-20   
 524 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (19- 4, 95.4)    12-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Nichols                 4-15     -11   -14           0.00
   420 H St Joseph Collegiate   11- 7       4     1    +      2.19
   422 A Medina                 10-11      -1     0          -1.15
   428 A St Francis              3-17     -14   -15           0.00
   430 H Timon St Jude           6-13      -7   -14    +      3.00
   501 A Sweet Home              9-15      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   503 H Salamanca              15-10       5     0    ++     5.79
   504 H East Aurora             8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.28
   506 A Grand Island            4-14     -10   -16           0.00
   508 H Amherst                 3-14     -11   -16           0.00
   512 H Gowanda                13-16      -3    -9    +++    6.45
   520 H Canisius               12-20      -8    -9           1.54
   524 A Amherst                12-15      -3   -18    +++    7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Gowanda                13-16      -3    -9    +++    6.45
   524 A Amherst                12-15      -3   -18    +++    7.00
   501 A Sweet Home              9-15      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   503 H Salamanca              15-10       5     0    ++     5.79
   420 H St Joseph Collegiate   11- 7       4     1    +      2.19
   430 H Timon St Jude           6-13      -7   -14    +      3.00
   504 H East Aurora             8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.90 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.12 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/