Region = CT 2 SWCIAC Nickname = T Green Wave Coach = Tim OelgoetzGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.9541855 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 408 A Barlow-Redding CT 1 SWCIAC (16- 4, 94.5) 2-12 410 A Housatonic Valley CT 2 Indep (11- 3, 98.0) 6-16 415 A Weston CT 2 SWCIAC ( 6-10, 85.1) 5- 3 420 A Danbury CT 2 FCIAC ( 8- 9, 87.7) 11-14 422 A Immaculate Danbury CT 2 SWCIAC ( 2-11, 78.2) 23- 6 428 H Newtown CT 1 SWCIAC ( 9-10, 87.2) 6- 9 429 H Pomperaug-Southbury CT 2 SWCIAC ( 1-15, 75.6) 17- 0 501 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC (11- 8, 93.6) 5-16 504 H Bethel CT 2 SWCIAC ( 0-10, 74.7) 19- 3 506 H Masuk-Monroe CT 2 SWCIAC (13- 7, 93.1) 19-15 510 A Avon HS CT 2 NWCIAC ( 3-13, 78.8) 17- 6 513 A New Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC (13- 6, 93.6) 19-15 515 A Brookfield CT 2 SWCIAC ( 8-10, 87.0) 16-11 517 A Newington CT 1 CCIAC ( 8- 9, 83.6) 13-11 518 H Westhill CT 2 FCIAC ( 2-14, 78.6) 20- 6 520 H Notre Dame-Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC (12- 7, 91.5) 14- 7 527 H Brookfield CT 2 SWCIAC ( 8-10, 87.0) 17- 7 603 N New Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC (13- 6, 93.6) 10-12 605 H Notre Dame-Fairfield CT 2 SWCIAC (12- 7, 91.5) 10-11 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Barlow-Redding 2-12 -10 -2 n/a 410 A Housatonic Valley 6-16 -10 -5 -- -4.38 415 A Weston 5- 3 2 7 -- -5.25 420 A Danbury 11-14 -3 4 --- -7.65 422 A Immaculate Danbury 23- 6 17 14 0.00 428 H Newtown 6- 9 -3 6 n/a 429 H Pomperaug-Southbury 17- 0 17 18 0.00 501 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 5-16 -11 -1 n/a 504 H Bethel 19- 3 16 19 0.00 506 H Masuk-Monroe 19-15 4 0 + 3.26 510 A Avon HS 17- 6 11 13 0.00 513 A New Fairfield 19-15 4 -1 ++ 5.25 515 A Brookfield 16-11 5 5 -0.42 517 A Newington 13-11 2 8 n/a 518 H Westhill 20- 6 14 15 0.00 520 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.66 527 H Brookfield 17- 7 10 6 + 3.15 603 N New Fairfield 10-12 -2 0 -1.47 605 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 10-11 o -1 2 - -3.34UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Barlow-Redding 2-12 -10 -2 --- 420 A Danbury 11-14 -3 4 --- -7.65 428 H Newtown 6- 9 -3 6 --- 501 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 5-16 -11 -1 --- 517 A Newington 13-11 2 8 --- 410 A Housatonic Valley 6-16 -10 -5 -- -4.38 415 A Weston 5- 3 2 7 -- -5.25 605 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 10-11 o -1 2 - -3.34OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 A New Fairfield 19-15 4 -1 ++ 5.25 520 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.66 506 H Masuk-Monroe 19-15 4 0 + 3.26 527 H Brookfield 17- 7 10 6 + 3.15/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.10 Local Power Rank........... 4 Local SOS Rating......... 71.40 Local SOS Rank............. 14 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 10.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3