Region = CT 2  SWCIAC           
   Nickname = T Rebels               Coach  =   Marty Morgan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.1433868    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A Weston                 CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 6-10, 85.1)     5- 2   
 410 H Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 89.1)    10- 9   
 417 H Farmington             CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 9, 89.6)    14- 3   
 419 H Pomperaug-Southbury    CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 1-15, 75.6)    12- 0   
 420 A Barlow-Redding         CT 1  SWCIAC  (16- 4, 94.5)     5-12   
 424 A Newtown                CT 1  SWCIAC  ( 9-10, 87.2)     4- 5   
 429 A Immaculate Danbury     CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 2-11, 78.2)    15- 4   
 504 H Brookfield             CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 8-10, 87.0)    11- 9   
 506 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 91.5)    13- 9   
 511 A Bethel                 CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 0-10, 74.7)    10- 2   
 513 H New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 93.1)    15-19   
 514 A Masuk-Monroe           CT 2  SWCIAC  (13- 7, 93.1)     9-10   
 518 H Housatonic Valley      CT 2  Indep   (11- 3, 98.0)     9- 8   
 520 H Avon HS                CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 3-13, 78.8)    13- 1   
 525 A Branford               CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 95.4)     6-16   
 527 A Masuk-Monroe           CT 2  SWCIAC  (13- 7, 93.1)    12-10   
 603 N New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 93.1)    12-10   
 605 H Woodstock Academy      CT 2  ECIAC   ( 8- 8, 84.7)    12- 0   
 608 A East Lyme              CT 2  ECIAC   (21- 1, 99.9)     5-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Weston                  5- 2       3     7    --    -4.79
   410 H Amity Regional         10- 9       1     5          n/a  
   417 H Farmington             14- 3      11     4    ++     5.25
   419 H Pomperaug-Southbury    12- 0      12    18           0.00
   420 A Barlow-Redding          5-12      -7    -1          n/a  
   424 A Newtown                 4- 5      -1     5          n/a  
   429 A Immaculate Danbury     15- 4      11    14           0.00
   504 H Brookfield             11- 9       2     7    --    -5.38
   506 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   13- 9       4     2           1.12
   511 A Bethel                 10- 2       8    18    -     -2.00
   513 H New Milford            15-19      -4     1    --    -5.25
   514 A Masuk-Monroe            9-10      -1     0          -0.85
   518 H Housatonic Valley       9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.66
   520 H Avon HS                13- 1      12    15           0.00
   525 A Branford                6-16     -10    -2          n/a  
   527 A Masuk-Monroe           12-10       2     0    +      2.15
   603 N New Milford            12-10       2     0           1.47
   605 H Woodstock Academy      12- 0      12     9           0.33
   608 A East Lyme               5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.02

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Newtown                 4- 5      -1     5    ---        
   525 A Branford                6-16     -10    -2    ---        
   408 A Weston                  5- 2       3     7    --    -4.79
   410 H Amity Regional         10- 9       1     5    --         
   420 A Barlow-Redding          5-12      -7    -1    --         
   504 H Brookfield             11- 9       2     7    --    -5.38
   513 H New Milford            15-19      -4     1    --    -5.25
   511 A Bethel                 10- 2       8    18    -     -2.00
   608 A East Lyme               5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Farmington             14- 3      11     4    ++     5.25
   518 H Housatonic Valley       9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.66
   527 A Masuk-Monroe           12-10       2     0    +      2.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.63 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.60 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/