Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Russ Mooney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2451324    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Agawam                 MA 2          ( 7-12, 76.9)    11- 1   
 406 H East Longmeadow        MA 2          ( 8-10, 77.1)    10- 6   
 407 N Conard-West Hartford   CT 1  CCIAC   ( 4-12, 80.7)     5- 3   
 410 A Williston Northampton  NE 2  West    ( 4- 9, 90.3)     8- 5   
 412 A Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          ( 7-11, 76.4)     6- 5   
 415 H Suffield Academy       NE 2  West    ( 6-10, 90.5)     9- 1   
 417 H Algonquin              MA 2          (17- 5, 86.8)     6- 7   
 420 A South Hadley           MA 2          (19- 2, 90.9)     9-10  o
 424 A West Springfield       MA 2          ( 5-13, 74.2)     7- 5   
 430 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (18- 4, 87.1)     5- 6  o
 504 H Longmeadow             MA 2          (16- 5, 88.2)     6-13   
 506 H Northampton            MA 2          ( 6-10, 77.4)    15- 3   
 513 H South Hadley           MA 2          (19- 2, 90.9)    10- 9 2o
 518 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (18- 4, 87.1)     4- 9   
 521 A Longmeadow             MA 2          (16- 5, 88.2)     4- 6   
 525 A Northampton            MA 2          ( 6-10, 77.4)    10- 3   
 527 A Westfield              MA 2          ( 8-11, 77.7)    12-10   
 601 A Agawam                 MA 2          ( 7-12, 76.9)     9- 8  o
 607 H Agawam                 MA 2          ( 7-12, 76.9)     7- 5   
 610 A South Hadley           MA 2          (19- 2, 90.9)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Agawam                 11- 1      10     8           1.20
   406 H East Longmeadow        10- 6       4     8    --    -4.59
   407 N Conard-West Hartford    5- 3       2     4          n/a  
   410 A Williston Northampton   8- 5       3    -5          n/a  
   412 A Cathedral Springfield   6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.82
   415 H Suffield Academy        9- 1       8    -5          n/a  
   417 H Algonquin               6- 7      -1    -1           0.09
   420 A South Hadley            9-10  o   -1    -6    ++     5.66
   424 A West Springfield        7- 5       2    10    ---   -8.00
   430 A Amherst-Pelham          5- 6  o   -1    -2           1.87
   504 H Longmeadow              6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.45
   506 H Northampton            15- 3      12     8           1.73
   513 H South Hadley           10- 9 2o    1    -5    +++    6.16
   518 H Amherst-Pelham          4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.62
   521 A Longmeadow              4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.05
   525 A Northampton            10- 3       7     6           0.22
   527 A Westfield              12-10       2     6    --    -4.54
   601 A Agawam                  9- 8  o    1     7    ---   -6.31
   607 H Agawam                  7- 5       2     8    ---   -6.80
   610 A South Hadley            4-12      -8    -6          -1.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Cathedral Springfield   6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.82
   424 A West Springfield        7- 5       2    10    ---   -8.00
   601 A Agawam                  9- 8  o    1     7    ---   -6.31
   607 H Agawam                  7- 5       2     8    ---   -6.80
   406 H East Longmeadow        10- 6       4     8    --    -4.59
   504 H Longmeadow              6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.45
   527 A Westfield              12-10       2     6    --    -4.54
   407 N Conard-West Hartford    5- 3       2     4    -          
   518 H Amherst-Pelham          4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Williston Northampton   8- 5       3    -5    +++        
   415 H Suffield Academy        9- 1       8    -5    +++        
   513 H South Hadley           10- 9 2o    1    -5    +++    6.16
   420 A South Hadley            9-10  o   -1    -6    ++     5.66
   521 A Longmeadow              4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.95 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.63 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    77
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/