Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Travis Phillips       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.9116287    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-17, 64.4)    14- 3   
 329 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 66.1)    16- 2   
 331 H Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   (14- 7, 88.1)     8-18   
 413 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 79.4)    11-13   
 420 H Timon St Jude          NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 93.6)     1-15   
 422 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-11, 77.9)    11-10   
 426 A St Francis             NY A  Sec 6   (17- 6, 92.9)     2-14   
 427 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (10- 9, 81.9)     4- 7   
 430 A Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 66.1)    15- 8   
 503 A Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   (14- 7, 88.1)     4-21   
 504 H Nichols                NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.4)     6-14   
 506 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 76.8)     6- 8   
 510 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-17, 64.4)    17- 4   
 511 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (10- 9, 81.9)     7- 6   
 514 A Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 79.4)     4-15   
 518 A Canisius               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 88.2)     5-18   
 520 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.8)     3-14   
 524 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 66.1)    24-12   
 526 A Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   (14- 7, 88.1)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Akron                  14- 3      11    13           0.00
   329 H Silver Creek           16- 2      14    11           0.00
   331 H Gowanda                 8-18     -10   -10           0.00
   413 H Salamanca              11-13      -2    -1          -0.30
   420 H Timon St Jude           1-15     -14   -15           0.00
   422 H Niagara Wheatfield     11-10       1     0           1.15
   426 A St Francis              2-14     -12   -16           0.00
   427 A East Aurora             4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.71
   430 A Silver Creek           15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   503 A Gowanda                 4-21     -17   -11           0.00
   504 H Nichols                 6-14      -8   -13    +      2.00
   506 H St Joseph Collegiate    6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.90
   510 A Akron                  17- 4      13    11           0.00
   511 H East Aurora             7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.19
   514 A Salamanca               4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.79
   518 A Canisius                5-18     -13   -11           0.00
   520 A Grand Island            3-14     -11   -17           0.00
   524 H Silver Creek           24-12      12    11           0.00
   526 A Gowanda                 7-16      -9   -11           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Salamanca               4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.79
   430 A Silver Creek           15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   506 H St Joseph Collegiate    6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H East Aurora             7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.19
   427 A East Aurora             4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.71
   504 H Nichols                 6-14      -8   -13    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.99 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.86 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/