Conf = Catholic Region = MA 1 Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Rick MazzeiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.0249176 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 H St Peters Marian MA 2 ( 9-10, 76.7) 12- 2 402 H St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 (15- 5, 86.7) 12- 4 406 H Boston College HS MA 1 (10- 7, 86.3) 8- 4 408 A St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (15- 6, 89.5) 9- 8 o 413 A Catholic Memorial MA 2 ( 7-10, 77.2) 16- 3 417 A Mount St Joseph MD A MIAA ( 6-10, 89.3) 8- 7 422 H Medfield MA 3 (21- 2, 91.2) 11- 6 427 A Xaverian Bros MA 1 ( 7-10, 83.4) 9- 3 429 A Duxbury MA 1 (22- 1, 99.9) 6- 7 o 504 A Boston College HS MA 1 (10- 7, 86.3) 10- 9 506 H St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (15- 6, 89.5) 8- 3 511 H Catholic Memorial MA 2 ( 7-10, 77.2) 15- 3 515 H Agawam MA 2 ( 7-12, 76.9) 10- 1 517 H Arlington MA 2 ( 8- 9, 79.5) 11- 2 518 H Xaverian Bros MA 1 ( 7-10, 83.4) 12- 0 520 H Peabody MA 1 ( 8-10, 82.1) 11- 3 524 H Beverly MA 1 (17- 5, 92.9) 11- 5 526 H Hamilton-Wenham MA 3 (13- 6, 84.3) 10- 1 527 H Danvers MA 2 (12- 9, 84.4) 19- 9 604 H Barnstable MA 1 (12- 7, 83.0) 14- 4 609 H Weymouth MA 1 (15- 5, 88.3) 19- 8 612 H Lincoln-Sudbury MA 1 (17- 3, 93.8) 9- 6 616 A Duxbury MA 1 (22- 1, 99.9) 4- 6PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 H St Peters Marian 12- 2 10 19 0.00 402 H St Johns Shrewsbury 12- 4 8 9 -1.35 406 H Boston College HS 8- 4 4 9 -- -5.77 408 A St Johns Prep Danvers 9- 8 o 1 5 -- -4.09 413 A Catholic Memorial 16- 3 13 17 0.00 417 A Mount St Joseph 8- 7 1 5 n/a 422 H Medfield 11- 6 5 4 0.12 427 A Xaverian Bros 9- 3 6 11 -- -4.00 429 A Duxbury 6- 7 o -1 -5 ++ 4.34 504 A Boston College HS 10- 9 1 8 --- -7.28 506 H St Johns Prep Danvers 8- 3 5 6 -1.59 511 H Catholic Memorial 15- 3 12 18 0.00 515 H Agawam 10- 1 9 19 -1.00 517 H Arlington 11- 2 9 16 -1.00 518 H Xaverian Bros 12- 0 12 12 0.00 520 H Peabody 11- 3 8 13 - -2.00 524 H Beverly 11- 5 6 3 + 2.89 526 H Hamilton-Wenham 10- 1 9 11 -1.00 527 H Danvers 19- 9 10 11 0.00 604 H Barnstable 14- 4 10 13 0.00 609 H Weymouth 19- 8 11 7 + 2.27 612 H Lincoln-Sudbury 9- 6 3 2 0.74 616 A Duxbury 4- 6 -2 -5 + 3.34UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 A Boston College HS 10- 9 1 8 --- -7.28 406 H Boston College HS 8- 4 4 9 -- -5.77 408 A St Johns Prep Danvers 9- 8 o 1 5 -- -4.09 417 A Mount St Joseph 8- 7 1 5 -- 427 A Xaverian Bros 9- 3 6 11 -- -4.00 520 H Peabody 11- 3 8 13 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 A Duxbury 6- 7 o -1 -5 ++ 4.34 524 H Beverly 11- 5 6 3 + 2.89 609 H Weymouth 19- 8 11 7 + 2.27 616 A Duxbury 4- 6 -2 -5 + 3.34/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 95.30 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 69.65 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.71 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 16.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.220.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 2 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 4.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 21- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0