Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   John Rauseo           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3028412    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H West Springfield       MA 2          ( 5-13, 74.2)     9- 5   
 409 A Westfield              MA 2          ( 8-11, 77.7)    10- 8   
 414 A Deerfield              NE 1  West    (16- 1, 99.9)     4-18   
 420 H Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          ( 7-11, 76.4)     7- 3   
 421 H Newton North           MA 1          (12- 9, 83.7)     9- 6   
 427 H South Hadley           MA 2          (19- 2, 90.9)     7- 9   
 429 A Northampton            MA 2          ( 6-10, 77.4)    13- 7   
 501 A Pinkerton              NH 1          (19- 1, 99.9)     5-12   
 504 A Minnechaug             MA 2          (13- 7, 84.9)    13- 6   
 506 A East Longmeadow        MA 2          ( 8-10, 77.1)    11- 4   
 507 H Westfield              MA 2          ( 8-11, 77.7)     8- 4   
 513 A West Springfield       MA 2          ( 5-13, 74.2)     9- 5   
 514 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (18- 4, 87.1)     4- 6   
 518 H Northampton            MA 2          ( 6-10, 77.4)    18- 6   
 521 H Minnechaug             MA 2          (13- 7, 84.9)     6- 4   
 525 H Agawam                 MA 2          ( 7-12, 76.9)    10- 5   
 527 A South Hadley           MA 2          (19- 2, 90.9)    14-11   
 601 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (18- 4, 87.1)    10- 5   
 607 H East Longmeadow        MA 2          ( 8-10, 77.1)    20- 3   
 609 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (18- 4, 87.1)    14- 2   
 612 A South Hadley           MA 2          (19- 2, 90.9)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H West Springfield        9- 5       4    14    ---   -6.00
   409 A Westfield              10- 8       2     9    ---   -7.84
   414 A Deerfield               4-18     -14   -12          n/a  
   420 H Cathedral Springfield   7- 3       4    12    ---   -6.00
   421 H Newton North            9- 6       3     5    -     -2.27
   427 H South Hadley            7- 9      -2    -1          -0.14
   429 A Northampton            13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   501 A Pinkerton               5-12      -7   -12          n/a  
   504 A Minnechaug             13- 6       7     2    ++     4.45
   506 A East Longmeadow        11- 4       7    10    -     -3.00
   507 H Westfield               8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   513 A West Springfield        9- 5       4    13    ---   -6.00
   514 A Amherst-Pelham          4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.43
   518 H Northampton            18- 6      12    11           0.00
   521 H Minnechaug              6- 4       2     4    -     -2.05
   525 H Agawam                 10- 5       5    12    --    -5.00
   527 A South Hadley           14-11       3    -3    +++    6.35
   601 H Amherst-Pelham         10- 5       5     1    +      3.08
   607 H East Longmeadow        20- 3      17    11           0.00
   609 H Amherst-Pelham         14- 2      12     1    +++    8.08
   612 A South Hadley            6- 8      -2    -3           1.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H West Springfield        9- 5       4    14    ---   -6.00
   409 A Westfield              10- 8       2     9    ---   -7.84
   420 H Cathedral Springfield   7- 3       4    12    ---   -6.00
   507 H Westfield               8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   513 A West Springfield        9- 5       4    13    ---   -6.00
   429 A Northampton            13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   525 H Agawam                 10- 5       5    12    --    -5.00
   421 H Newton North            9- 6       3     5    -     -2.27
   506 A East Longmeadow        11- 4       7    10    -     -3.00
   514 A Amherst-Pelham          4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.43
   521 H Minnechaug              6- 4       2     4    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   527 A South Hadley           14-11       3    -3    +++    6.35
   609 H Amherst-Pelham         14- 2      12     1    +++    8.08
   504 A Minnechaug             13- 6       7     2    ++     4.45
   501 A Pinkerton               5-12      -7   -12    +          
   601 H Amherst-Pelham         10- 5       5     1    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.25 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.70 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    63
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.0
/