Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Rob Umble             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.2348022    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (13- 5, 92.6)     7-11   
 327 H Hempfield              PA    LL04    (19- 5, 99.9)     8-15   
 330 H Warwick                PA    LL04    (12-10, 78.7)    18- 3   
 331 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    ( 5- 9, 73.3)    18- 1   
 402 A Penn Manor             PA    LL04    ( 6- 8, 82.5)    11- 7   
 406 A Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 2-11, 75.3)     6- 2   
 414 A Mercersburg Academy    PA    Indep   ( 8- 6, 89.2)     9- 7   
 416 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (16- 9, 95.4)    12-19   
 417 H Friends Central        PA    FSL     (11- 5, 86.5)     7- 9   
 420 A Hempfield              PA    LL04    (19- 5, 99.9)     2-17   
 423 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    (10- 4, 83.6)    12- 4   
 427 H Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 8- 9, 78.1)    11- 6   
 430 H Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (16- 9, 95.4)     6- 8   
 504 H Penn Manor             PA    LL04    ( 6- 8, 82.5)    15- 4   
 506 H Ephrata                PA    LL04    (10-12, 77.2)    18- 1   
 508 H York Suburban          PA    York 1  ( 8- 6, 78.8)    21- 5   
 511 H Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 2-11, 75.3)    15- 4   
 517 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (13- 5, 92.6)     8- 7   
 520 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (16- 9, 95.4)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Cumberland Valley       7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.95
   327 H Hempfield               8-15      -7    -8           1.34
   330 H Warwick                18- 3      15    12           0.00
   331 A Lampeter-Strasburg     18- 1      17    14           0.00
   402 A Penn Manor             11- 7       4     5          -1.78
   406 A Elizabethtown           6- 2       4    13    ---   -6.00
   414 A Mercersburg Academy     9- 7       2     0          n/a  
   416 A Manheim Township       12-19      -7    -7           0.06
   417 H Friends Central         7- 9      -2     4          n/a  
   420 A Hempfield               2-17     -15   -11           0.00
   423 H Conestoga Valley       12- 4       8     7           0.02
   427 H Harrisburg Academy     11- 6       5    13    --    -5.00
   430 H Manheim Township        6- 8      -2    -3           1.81
   504 H Penn Manor             15- 4      11     9           0.98
   506 H Ephrata                18- 1      17    14           0.00
   508 H York Suburban          21- 5      16    12           0.00
   511 H Elizabethtown          15- 4      11    16           0.00
   517 A Cumberland Valley       8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.29
   520 A Manheim Township        6-14      -8    -7          -0.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Elizabethtown           6- 2       4    13    ---   -6.00
   417 H Friends Central         7- 9      -2     4    ---        
   427 H Harrisburg Academy     11- 6       5    13    --    -5.00
   323 H Cumberland Valley       7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 A Cumberland Valley       8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.29
   414 A Mercersburg Academy     9- 7       2     0    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.94 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.69 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/