Region = OH 2 South Nickname = H Firebirds Coach = Dave ReedGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 99.1763763 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 320 A Carmel IN (15- 8, 98.1) 2- 9 320 A Park Tudor IN (11- 9, 89.3) 9- 4 407 H Archbishop Moeller OH 1 South ( 9- 9, 87.5) 6- 7 414 A Cincinnati St Xavier OH 1 South (10- 7, 89.3) 5-11 416 H Cincinnati Cou Day OH 3 South ( 8- 8, 94.3) 8- 7 417 H Westerville South OH 2 South ( 3-10, 88.0) 16- 4 423 H Cincinnati Sycamore OH 2 South (10- 9, 93.8) 3- 7 430 A Hilliard Darby OH 2 South ( 7- 6, 93.1) 6- 7 504 A Mariemont OH 2 South (10- 4, 97.7) 6-10 508 H Columbus St Charles OH 2 South ( 6- 9, 90.3) 7- 4 511 A Cincinnati Indian Hill OH 1 South ( 6- 6, 89.5) 6-11 515 A Wellington School OH 2 South ( 9- 5, 95.8) 9-12 517 H Summit Country Day OH 3 South ( 7- 8, 91.2) 13- 0 519 H Lakota East OH 3 South ( 4- 9, 81.2) 15- 3 526 A Wellington School OH 2 South ( 9- 5, 95.8) 11- 9 529 A Westerville South OH 2 South ( 3-10, 88.0) 17- 2 602 A Cincinnati Sycamore OH 2 South (10- 9, 93.8) 7- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Carmel 2- 9 -7 -5 n/a 320 A Park Tudor 9- 4 5 3 n/a 407 H Archbishop Moeller 6- 7 -1 8 n/a 414 A Cincinnati St Xavier 5-11 -6 3 n/a 416 H Cincinnati Cou Day 8- 7 1 1 n/a 417 H Westerville South 16- 4 12 7 + 2.54 423 H Cincinnati Sycamore 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.61 430 A Hilliard Darby 6- 7 -1 0 -0.98 504 A Mariemont 6-10 -4 -4 0.54 508 H Columbus St Charles 7- 4 3 5 - -2.11 511 A Cincinnati Indian Hill 6-11 -5 3 n/a 515 A Wellington School 9-12 -3 -2 -0.33 517 H Summit Country Day 13- 0 13 4 n/a 519 H Lakota East 15- 3 12 14 n/a 526 A Wellington School 11- 9 2 -2 ++ 4.67 529 A Westerville South 17- 2 15 5 ++ 4.87 602 A Cincinnati Sycamore 7- 8 -1 0 -0.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Archbishop Moeller 6- 7 -1 8 --- 414 A Cincinnati St Xavier 5-11 -6 3 --- 511 A Cincinnati Indian Hill 6-11 -5 3 --- 423 H Cincinnati Sycamore 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.61 508 H Columbus St Charles 7- 4 3 5 - -2.11OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 H Summit Country Day 13- 0 13 4 ++ 526 A Wellington School 11- 9 2 -2 ++ 4.67 529 A Westerville South 17- 2 15 5 ++ 4.87 417 H Westerville South 16- 4 12 7 + 2.54/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.29 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 80.58 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 13.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.3