Conf =  Waterm                    Region = NJ    Grp-III          
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Brad Dzama            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.8137970    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-IV  (11-10, 89.0)     5- 9   
 403 H Columbia               NJ    Grp-IV  (11-10, 88.0)     5-11   
 407 A West Essex Regional    NJ    Grp-II  (19- 4, 94.0)     3-14   
 408 H Madison Boro           NJ    Grp-I   (16- 3, 93.8)     4-15   
 413 H Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-I   (15- 5, 90.4)     1- 8   
 416 A Roxbury                NJ    Grp-III ( 3-14, 75.0)     6- 8   
 417 A Millburn               NJ    Grp-II  (10- 9, 79.2)     7- 8 2o
 419 H Mendham                NJ    Grp-II  (11- 9, 87.5)     6-14   
 421 A Hanover Park           NJ    Grp-II  ( 4-12, 80.1)     6-10   
 428 H Pingry                 NJ    Grp-I   (13- 4, 91.5)     2-11   
 502 A Nutley                 NJ    Grp-III ( 6- 9, 77.8)     5- 6   
 503 H Summit                 NJ    Grp-I   (17- 4, 94.5)     2-12   
 506 A Immaculata             NJ    Grp-II  (11- 6, 85.7)     8-14   
 507 A Ridge                  NJ    Grp-III ( 7-10, 82.2)     6-16   
 511 H Morristown             NJ    Grp-III ( 1-17, 70.9)    12- 7   
 514 A AL Johnson/Clark       NJ    Grp-II  ( 8- 9, 84.6)     5- 9   
 517 H Randolph               NJ    Grp-III ( 9- 9, 85.4)     4- 6   
 518 A West Morris Central    NJ    Grp-III (12- 9, 87.4)     3-13   
 520 H West Orange            NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-12, 70.9)     7- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Seton Hall Prep         5- 9      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   403 H Columbia                5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   407 A West Essex Regional     3-14     -11   -19           0.00
   408 H Madison Boro            4-15     -11   -17           0.00
   413 H Morristown Beard        1- 8      -7   -14    +      3.00
   416 A Roxbury                 6- 8      -2     0          -1.28
   417 A Millburn                7- 8 2o   -1    -4    +      3.96
   419 H Mendham                 6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
   421 A Hanover Park            6-10      -4    -5           1.87
   428 H Pingry                  2-11      -9   -15           1.00
   502 A Nutley                  5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.54
   503 H Summit                  2-12     -10   -18           0.00
   506 A Immaculata              8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   507 A Ridge                   6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.05
   511 H Morristown             12- 7       5     4           0.06
   514 A AL Johnson/Clark        5- 9      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   517 H Randolph                4- 6      -2    -9    +++    7.60
   518 A West Morris Central     3-13     -10   -13           0.00
   520 H West Orange             7- 4       3     4          -1.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Ridge                   6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Seton Hall Prep         5- 9      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   514 A AL Johnson/Clark        5- 9      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   517 H Randolph                4- 6      -2    -9    +++    7.60
   403 H Columbia                5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   506 A Immaculata              8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   413 H Morristown Beard        1- 8      -7   -14    +      3.00
   417 A Millburn                7- 8 2o   -1    -4    +      3.96
   419 H Mendham                 6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
   502 A Nutley                  5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.03 Local Power Rank...........    79
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.77 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    95
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    52
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   101
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-17 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/