Region = MI 4  Div4             
   Nickname = I Railsplitters        Coach  =   Jeff Daniels          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.7454987    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H AA Gabriel Richard     MI 4  Div5    ( 8-10, 89.0)    11- 1   
 331 H Walled Lake            MI 4  Div5    ( 2- 9, 84.5)     8- 1   
 402 A Davison                MI 4  Div5    ( 9- 7, 90.3)     6- 7   
 405 A South Lyon             MI 4  Div5    (11- 4, 92.4)    12- 4   
 407 H Romulus                MI 4  Div4    ( 0-16, 76.6)    17- 0   
 421 A Saline                 MI 4  Div5    (11- 8, 92.7)     6- 3   
 423 H Tecumseh               MI 4  Div4    ( 7- 9, 90.4)     4- 5   
 426 H Holt                   MI 4  Div5    ( 3-14, 82.0)    13- 4   
 428 A Plymouth Canton        MI 4  Div4    (16- 5, 98.6)     6- 9   
 501 H Mattawan-Kalamazoo     MI 4  Div4    (16- 5, 99.9)    13- 7   
 503 H Avondale               MI 4  Div4    ( 3-10, 84.1)    12- 0   
 507 H Zeeland                MI 4  Div4    (11-10, 94.3)     9- 4   
 512 A Northville             MI 4  Div4    ( 6-12, 87.4)     2- 3   
 515 N Grand Haven            MI 4  Div4    (11- 5, 97.3)     7- 5   
 515 N Waterford              MI 4  Div4    ( 8-11, 87.8)     8- 6   
 521 A Rochester              MI 3          ( 9- 7, 90.0)    11- 5   
 525 H University Liggett     MI 3          ( 3-13, 82.6)     9- 4   
 604 A East Lansing           MI 3          (16- 1, 99.9)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H AA Gabriel Richard     11- 1      10     9           0.25
   331 H Walled Lake             8- 1       7    14    -     -3.00
   402 A Davison                 6- 7      -1     6    ---   -7.79
   405 A South Lyon             12- 4       8     4    +      3.30
   407 H Romulus                17- 0      17    22           0.00
   421 A Saline                  6- 3       3     4          -1.46
   423 H Tecumseh                4- 5      -1     8    ---   -9.36
   426 H Holt                   13- 4       9    16          -1.00
   428 A Plymouth Canton         6- 9      -3    -1          -1.56
   501 H Mattawan-Kalamazoo     13- 7       6    -1    +++    7.11
   503 H Avondale               12- 0      12    14           0.00
   507 H Zeeland                 9- 4       5     4           0.54
   512 A Northville              2- 3      -1     9    ---  -10.77
   515 N Grand Haven             7- 5       2     0           1.38
   515 N Waterford               8- 6       2    10    ---   -8.00
   521 A Rochester              11- 5       6     7          n/a  
   525 H University Liggett      9- 4       5    16          n/a  
   604 A East Lansing            4-12      -8    -2          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Davison                 6- 7      -1     6    ---   -7.79
   423 H Tecumseh                4- 5      -1     8    ---   -9.36
   512 A Northville              2- 3      -1     9    ---  -10.77
   515 N Waterford               8- 6       2    10    ---   -8.00
   525 H University Liggett      9- 4       5    16    --         
   604 A East Lansing            4-12      -8    -2    --         
   331 H Walled Lake             8- 1       7    14    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Mattawan-Kalamazoo     13- 7       6    -1    +++    7.11
   405 A South Lyon             12- 4       8     4    +      3.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.96 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.55 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   11.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/