Region = CT 2  ECIAC            
   Nickname = T Colonels             Coach  =   Gary Weller           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.3479004    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Avon HS                CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 3-13, 78.8)    15- 4   
 409 H North Haven            CT 2  SCIAC   ( 4-12, 80.5)     7- 2   
 417 A Rockville              CT 2  CCIAC   ( 3-13, 76.8)     8- 2   
 429 A Stonington             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 9- 5, 90.3)     7- 4   
 504 H Fitch-Groton           CT 2  ECIAC   ( 9- 8, 88.7)     9-11   
 506 A Hamden                 CT 2  SCIAC   ( 3-14, 78.8)    13- 4   
 510 A Woodstock Academy      CT 2  ECIAC   ( 8- 8, 84.7)    13- 9   
 511 H East Lyme              CT 2  ECIAC   (21- 1, 99.9)     9-22   
 515 H Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 89.1)     8-10   
 517 A St Bernard             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 1-14, 74.0)    14- 0   
 519 H Morgan-Clinton         CT 2  Indep   ( 7-10, 84.8)    15- 4   
 522 A Branford               CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 95.4)     3-16   
 524 H Norwich Free Academy   CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-13, 77.2)    16- 4   
 526 N Stonington             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 9- 5, 90.3)    15- 7   
 528 N East Lyme              CT 2  ECIAC   (21- 1, 99.9)     3-15   
 605 H Fitch-Groton           CT 2  ECIAC   ( 9- 8, 88.7)    12- 9   
 608 H Trumbull               CT 2  FCIAC   (11- 8, 92.0)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Avon HS                15- 4      11    14           0.00
   409 H North Haven             7- 2       5    12    --    -5.00
   417 A Rockville               8- 2       6    14    --    -4.00
   429 A Stonington              7- 4       3     1           1.74
   504 H Fitch-Groton            9-11      -2     4    ---   -6.31
   506 A Hamden                 13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   510 A Woodstock Academy      13- 9       4     6    -     -2.93
   511 H East Lyme               9-22     -13    -6    -     -3.13
   515 H Amity Regional          8-10      -2     4          n/a  
   517 A St Bernard             14- 0      14    17           0.00
   519 H Morgan-Clinton         15- 4      11     8           1.78
   522 A Branford                3-16     -13    -4          n/a  
   524 H Norwich Free Academy   16- 4      12    15           0.00
   526 N Stonington             15- 7       8     1    +++    6.03
   528 N East Lyme               3-15     -12    -7    -     -2.42
   605 H Fitch-Groton           12- 9       3     4          -1.31
   608 H Trumbull               10-11      -1     1    -     -2.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Fitch-Groton            9-11      -2     4    ---   -6.31
   515 H Amity Regional          8-10      -2     4    ---        
   409 H North Haven             7- 2       5    12    --    -5.00
   417 A Rockville               8- 2       6    14    --    -4.00
   522 A Branford                3-16     -13    -4    --         
   510 A Woodstock Academy      13- 9       4     6    -     -2.93
   511 H East Lyme               9-22     -13    -6    -     -3.13
   528 N East Lyme               3-15     -12    -7    -     -2.42
   608 H Trumbull               10-11      -1     1    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   526 N Stonington             15- 7       8     1    +++    6.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.32 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.59 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/