Region = CT 2 ECIAC Nickname = T Colonels Coach = Gary WellerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.3479004 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Avon HS CT 2 NWCIAC ( 3-13, 78.8) 15- 4 409 H North Haven CT 2 SCIAC ( 4-12, 80.5) 7- 2 417 A Rockville CT 2 CCIAC ( 3-13, 76.8) 8- 2 429 A Stonington CT 2 ECIAC ( 9- 5, 90.3) 7- 4 504 H Fitch-Groton CT 2 ECIAC ( 9- 8, 88.7) 9-11 506 A Hamden CT 2 SCIAC ( 3-14, 78.8) 13- 4 510 A Woodstock Academy CT 2 ECIAC ( 8- 8, 84.7) 13- 9 511 H East Lyme CT 2 ECIAC (21- 1, 99.9) 9-22 515 H Amity Regional CT 1 SCIAC ( 9- 8, 89.1) 8-10 517 A St Bernard CT 2 ECIAC ( 1-14, 74.0) 14- 0 519 H Morgan-Clinton CT 2 Indep ( 7-10, 84.8) 15- 4 522 A Branford CT 1 SCIAC (15- 4, 95.4) 3-16 524 H Norwich Free Academy CT 2 ECIAC ( 3-13, 77.2) 16- 4 526 N Stonington CT 2 ECIAC ( 9- 5, 90.3) 15- 7 528 N East Lyme CT 2 ECIAC (21- 1, 99.9) 3-15 605 H Fitch-Groton CT 2 ECIAC ( 9- 8, 88.7) 12- 9 608 H Trumbull CT 2 FCIAC (11- 8, 92.0) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Avon HS 15- 4 11 14 0.00 409 H North Haven 7- 2 5 12 -- -5.00 417 A Rockville 8- 2 6 14 -- -4.00 429 A Stonington 7- 4 3 1 1.74 504 H Fitch-Groton 9-11 -2 4 --- -6.31 506 A Hamden 13- 4 9 12 -1.00 510 A Woodstock Academy 13- 9 4 6 - -2.93 511 H East Lyme 9-22 -13 -6 - -3.13 515 H Amity Regional 8-10 -2 4 n/a 517 A St Bernard 14- 0 14 17 0.00 519 H Morgan-Clinton 15- 4 11 8 1.78 522 A Branford 3-16 -13 -4 n/a 524 H Norwich Free Academy 16- 4 12 15 0.00 526 N Stonington 15- 7 8 1 +++ 6.03 528 N East Lyme 3-15 -12 -7 - -2.42 605 H Fitch-Groton 12- 9 3 4 -1.31 608 H Trumbull 10-11 -1 1 - -2.05UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 H Fitch-Groton 9-11 -2 4 --- -6.31 515 H Amity Regional 8-10 -2 4 --- 409 H North Haven 7- 2 5 12 -- -5.00 417 A Rockville 8- 2 6 14 -- -4.00 522 A Branford 3-16 -13 -4 -- 510 A Woodstock Academy 13- 9 4 6 - -2.93 511 H East Lyme 9-22 -13 -6 - -3.13 528 N East Lyme 3-15 -12 -7 - -2.42 608 H Trumbull 10-11 -1 1 - -2.05OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 526 N Stonington 15- 7 8 1 +++ 6.03/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.32 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 70.59 Local SOS Rank............. 17 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 6 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 10 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -12.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3