Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.9816666    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Severn                 MD A  MIAA    ( 7- 8, 91.0)     6- 5  o
 320 N Penn Charter           PA    IAC     ( 5-18, 84.5)    14- 4   
 324 A St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA    (10- 6, 94.2)     9- 4   
 327 N St Paul's              MD A  MIAA    (17- 3, 99.5)     8- 7  o
 329 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     ( 8-10, 88.3)    10- 8   
 402 A Gilman                 MD A  MIAA    (15- 4, 97.4)     9-10  o
 406 H Oakton                 VA    Conc    (16- 2, 99.9)    16- 7   
 408 A Woodson                VA    Lib     (13- 5, 96.2)    13- 7   
 415 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (16- 4, 99.2)    10- 5   
 417 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (13- 5, 93.9)     5- 4   
 421 A St Albans              DC    IAC     (13- 7, 92.7)    11- 4   
 423 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (16- 6, 96.7)     7- 8   
 428 A Robinson               VA    Patr    (12- 4, 98.5)    11- 5   
 430 H Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     ( 3-10, 84.5)    12- 1   
 501 H St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (10- 7, 94.1)    17- 6   
 504 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (13- 4, 99.9)     8- 9   
 507 H Hempfield              PA    LL04    (19- 5, 99.9)    11- 9   
 508 H Hill School            PA    Indep   (11- 5, 92.4)     8- 5   
 512 H St Albans              DC    IAC     (13- 7, 92.7)     8- 7   
 518 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (16- 4, 99.2)     6- 5 4o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Severn                  6- 5  o    1     7    ---   -6.52
   320 N Penn Charter           14- 4      10    13          n/a  
   324 A St Mary's Annapolis     9- 4       5     4           0.96
   327 N St Paul's               8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.12
   329 H St Stephen/St Agnes    10- 8       2    10    ---   -8.00
   402 A Gilman                  9-10  o   -1     0          -1.78
   406 H Oakton                 16- 7       9     0          n/a  
   408 A Woodson                13- 7       6     1          n/a  
   415 A Georgetown Prep        10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.03
   417 H Bullis                  5- 4       1     4    -     -3.56
   421 A St Albans              11- 4       7     5           1.46
   423 A Gonzaga                 7- 8      -1     1          n/a  
   428 A Robinson               11- 5       6     0          n/a  
   430 H Episcopal HS           12- 1      11    14           0.00
   501 H St Johns DC            17- 6      11     4          n/a  
   504 A DeMatha                 8- 9      -1    -2          n/a  
   507 H Hempfield              11- 9       2     0          n/a  
   508 H Hill School             8- 5       3     6          n/a  
   512 H St Albans               8- 7       1     5    --    -4.83
   518 H Georgetown Prep         6- 5 4o    1     0           1.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Severn                  6- 5  o    1     7    ---   -6.52
   329 H St Stephen/St Agnes    10- 8       2    10    ---   -8.00
   512 H St Albans               8- 7       1     5    --    -4.83
   417 H Bullis                  5- 4       1     4    -     -3.56
   423 A Gonzaga                 7- 8      -1     1    -          
   508 H Hill School             8- 5       3     6    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Oakton                 16- 7       9     0    +++        
   415 A Georgetown Prep        10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.03
   428 A Robinson               11- 5       6     0    +++        
   408 A Woodson                13- 7       6     1    ++         
   501 H St Johns DC            17- 6      11     4    ++         
   327 N St Paul's               8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.12
   507 H Hempfield              11- 9       2     0    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.35 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 87.74 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/