Region = DC IAC Nickname = D Bears Coach = Rob BordleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.9816666 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Severn MD A MIAA ( 7- 8, 91.0) 6- 5 o 320 N Penn Charter PA IAC ( 5-18, 84.5) 14- 4 324 A St Mary's Annapolis MD A MIAA (10- 6, 94.2) 9- 4 327 N St Paul's MD A MIAA (17- 3, 99.5) 8- 7 o 329 H St Stephen/St Agnes DC IAC ( 8-10, 88.3) 10- 8 402 A Gilman MD A MIAA (15- 4, 97.4) 9-10 o 406 H Oakton VA Conc (16- 2, 99.9) 16- 7 408 A Woodson VA Lib (13- 5, 96.2) 13- 7 415 A Georgetown Prep DC IAC (16- 4, 99.2) 10- 5 417 H Bullis DC IAC (13- 5, 93.9) 5- 4 421 A St Albans DC IAC (13- 7, 92.7) 11- 4 423 A Gonzaga DC WCAC (16- 6, 96.7) 7- 8 428 A Robinson VA Patr (12- 4, 98.5) 11- 5 430 H Episcopal HS DC IAC ( 3-10, 84.5) 12- 1 501 H St Johns DC DC WCAC (10- 7, 94.1) 17- 6 504 A DeMatha DC WCAC (13- 4, 99.9) 8- 9 507 H Hempfield PA LL04 (19- 5, 99.9) 11- 9 508 H Hill School PA Indep (11- 5, 92.4) 8- 5 512 H St Albans DC IAC (13- 7, 92.7) 8- 7 518 H Georgetown Prep DC IAC (16- 4, 99.2) 6- 5 4oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Severn 6- 5 o 1 7 --- -6.52 320 N Penn Charter 14- 4 10 13 n/a 324 A St Mary's Annapolis 9- 4 5 4 0.96 327 N St Paul's 8- 7 o 1 -1 + 2.12 329 H St Stephen/St Agnes 10- 8 2 10 --- -8.00 402 A Gilman 9-10 o -1 0 -1.78 406 H Oakton 16- 7 9 0 n/a 408 A Woodson 13- 7 6 1 n/a 415 A Georgetown Prep 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.03 417 H Bullis 5- 4 1 4 - -3.56 421 A St Albans 11- 4 7 5 1.46 423 A Gonzaga 7- 8 -1 1 n/a 428 A Robinson 11- 5 6 0 n/a 430 H Episcopal HS 12- 1 11 14 0.00 501 H St Johns DC 17- 6 11 4 n/a 504 A DeMatha 8- 9 -1 -2 n/a 507 H Hempfield 11- 9 2 0 n/a 508 H Hill School 8- 5 3 6 n/a 512 H St Albans 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.83 518 H Georgetown Prep 6- 5 4o 1 0 1.75UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Severn 6- 5 o 1 7 --- -6.52 329 H St Stephen/St Agnes 10- 8 2 10 --- -8.00 512 H St Albans 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.83 417 H Bullis 5- 4 1 4 - -3.56 423 A Gonzaga 7- 8 -1 1 - 508 H Hill School 8- 5 3 6 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Oakton 16- 7 9 0 +++ 415 A Georgetown Prep 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.03 428 A Robinson 11- 5 6 0 +++ 408 A Woodson 13- 7 6 1 ++ 501 H St Johns DC 17- 6 11 4 ++ 327 N St Paul's 8- 7 o 1 -1 + 2.12 507 H Hempfield 11- 9 2 0 +/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 98.35 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 87.74 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 1 Championship Probability . 7.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7