Kentucky Country Day          3 - 6


 
                                     Region = KY                     
   Nickname = Y Bearcats             Coach  =   Arron Davis           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   88.5695343    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 H Lexington LC           KY            ( 2- 8, 76.0)    11- 1   
 323 H Louisville Trinity     KY            (21- 2, 99.9)     2-15   
 406 A Louisville Eastern     KY            ( 3- 8, 80.7)     7- 6   
 418 A Lexington Catholic     KY            ( 8- 4, 88.9)     7- 8 2o
 426 A Lexington Dunbar       KY            ( 6- 5, 87.5)     6- 9   
 427 A Louisville St Xavier   KY            (12- 9, 91.7)     0-13   
 504 H Louisville Ballard     KY            ( 9- 4, 91.8)     4-11   
 511 H Louisville Manual      KY            ( 6- 9, 82.6)     9- 6   
 524 A Louisville Ballard     KY            ( 9- 4, 91.8)     2-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Lexington LC           11- 1      10     8           1.07
   323 H Louisville Trinity      2-15     -13   -14           0.00
   406 A Louisville Eastern      7- 6       1     0           0.57
   418 A Lexington Catholic      7- 8 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.72
   426 A Lexington Dunbar        6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.35
   427 A Louisville St Xavier    0-13     -13   -10           0.00
   504 H Louisville Ballard      4-11      -7    -6          -0.11
   511 H Louisville Manual       9- 6       3     2           0.69
   524 A Louisville Ballard      2-11      -9   -10           1.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Lexington Catholic      7- 8 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.72
   426 A Lexington Dunbar        6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.35




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.04 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.21 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3


  
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