Region = CT 2  SWCIAC           
   Nickname = T Mustangs             Coach  =   Tim Vivian            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8850555    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Housatonic Valley      CT 2  Indep   (11- 3, 98.0)     6-17   
 408 H Brookfield             CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 8-10, 87.0)     4-14   
 419 A Masuk-Monroe           CT 2  SWCIAC  (13- 7, 93.1)     4-24   
 422 H New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 93.1)     6-23   
 429 H New Fairfield          CT 2  SWCIAC  (13- 6, 93.6)     4-15   
 501 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 91.5)     5-11   
 504 A Weston                 CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 6-10, 85.1)     4- 9   
 506 A Bethel                 CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 0-10, 74.7)    14-10   
 508 A St Joseph-Trumbull     CT 2  FCIAC   ( 4-12, 81.7)     4- 8   
 513 H Pomperaug-Southbury    CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 1-15, 75.6)     6- 2   
 515 H Newtown                CT 1  SWCIAC  ( 9-10, 87.2)     3-18   
 520 A Danbury                CT 2  FCIAC   ( 8- 9, 87.7)     4- 9   
 522 H Trumbull               CT 2  FCIAC   (11- 8, 92.0)     8-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Housatonic Valley       6-17     -11   -19           0.00
   408 H Brookfield              4-14     -10    -8          -1.93
   419 A Masuk-Monroe            4-24     -20   -15           0.00
   422 H New Milford             6-23     -17   -14           0.00
   429 H New Fairfield           4-15     -11   -14           0.00
   501 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   504 A Weston                  4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.67
   506 A Bethel                 14-10       4     2           1.24
   508 A St Joseph-Trumbull      4- 8      -4    -4           0.26
   513 H Pomperaug-Southbury     6- 2       4     3           0.66
   515 H Newtown                 3-18     -15    -8          n/a  
   520 A Danbury                 4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   522 H Trumbull                8-17      -9   -13           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   520 A Danbury                 4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   504 A Weston                  4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.18 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.84 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7
/