Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Gordon Hodgson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5234985    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 N Pine Richland          PA    1DWEST  ( 7-10, 89.5)    14- 3   
 330 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.8)    12- 3   
 401 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 83.4)     4- 9   
 403 H Mepham                 NY B  Sec 8   ( 5-10, 76.5)    11- 6   
 407 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 78.5)    12-10   
 415 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.3)    13- 4   
 416 H Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 73.2)    13- 2   
 420 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 78.9)    12- 9   
 422 H Copaigue               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 75.1)    14- 4   
 427 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 93.6)     5-15   
 428 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.7)     7-10   
 430 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     8-19   
 504 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 68.9)    18- 2   
 506 A Sachem                 NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)     6-14   
 508 H Holy Trinity           NY    Cath    ( 8-11, 85.0)     5- 6   
 512 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 79.2)    14- 8   
 514 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 91.6)     8-13   
 519 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.5)     7- 8  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 N Pine Richland          14- 3      11    -4          n/a  
   330 A Longwood               12- 3       9    12          -1.00
   401 H Bay Shore               4- 9      -5     1    ---   -6.90
   403 H Mepham                 11- 6       5     8          n/a  
   407 A North Babylon          12-10       2     6    --    -4.69
   415 A West Babylon           13- 4       9     5    +      3.11
   416 H Bellport               13- 2      11    12           0.00
   420 H Commack                12- 9       3     6    -     -3.39
   422 H Copaigue               14- 4      10    10           0.00
   427 A Ward Melville           5-15     -10    -8          -1.57
   428 A Middle Country          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.44
   430 A West Islip              8-19     -11   -14           0.00
   504 H Brentwood              18- 2      16    16           0.00
   506 A Sachem                  6-14      -8    -6          -1.31
   508 H Holy Trinity            5- 6      -1     0          n/a  
   512 A Riverhead              14- 8       6     5           0.09
   514 H Northport               8-13      -5    -6           1.31
   519 A East Islip              7- 8  o   -1    -1           0.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Bay Shore               4- 9      -5     1    ---   -6.90
   407 A North Babylon          12-10       2     6    --    -4.69
   403 H Mepham                 11- 6       5     8    -          
   420 H Commack                12- 9       3     6    -     -3.39
   428 A Middle Country          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 N Pine Richland          14- 3      11    -4    +++        
   415 A West Babylon           13- 4       9     5    +      3.11
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.24 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.30 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/