Conf =  Div II                    Region = NY B  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Tornadoes            Coach  =   Kip Lukralle          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.8940887    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Babylon                NY C  Sec 11  (11- 8, 83.6)     4- 9   
 405 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-17, 68.0)    13- 3   
 407 H Westhampton Beach      NY B  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 72.7)    15- 4   
 410 A Locust Valley          NY C  Sec 8   ( 9- 9, 82.6)     6-17   
 415 A Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  (12- 7, 85.4)     6-10   
 417 A Islip                  NY B  Sec 11  (11- 6, 82.7)     9-10 2o
 419 A East Hampton           NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.5)     4-15   
 421 H Huntington             NY B  Sec 11  (12- 5, 88.9)     3-15   
 423 A Deer Park              NY B  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 78.2)    11-12   
 427 H Mercy-Riverhead        NY C  Sec 11  ( 2-16, 66.8)    17- 5   
 429 A Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 81.5)     0-11   
 504 A Eastport/South Manor   NY C  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 69.1)    11- 5   
 505 A Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 73.6)    11-10   
 507 H Stony Brook            NY C  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 72.8)    12- 4   
 511 H Southampton            NY C  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 60.7)    15- 3   
 513 H Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  (17- 1, 95.6)     3-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Babylon                 4- 9      -5    -6           1.24
   405 H Walt Whitman           13- 3      10     9           0.60
   407 H Westhampton Beach      15- 4      11     4    ++     5.32
   410 A Locust Valley           6-17     -11    -5          n/a  
   415 A Half Hollow Hills West  6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.17
   417 A Islip                   9-10 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.50
   419 A East Hampton            4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.70
   421 H Huntington              3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   423 A Deer Park              11-12      -1     0          -0.04
   427 H Mercy-Riverhead        17- 5      12    10           0.00
   429 A Sayville                0-11     -11    -4    --    -5.74
   504 A Eastport/South Manor   11- 5       6     8    -     -2.14
   505 A Bayport-Blue Point     11-10       1     3    -     -2.60
   507 H Stony Brook            12- 4       8     4    +      3.40
   511 H Southampton            15- 3      12    16           0.00
   513 H Comsewogue              3-15     -12   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A East Hampton            4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.70
   410 A Locust Valley           6-17     -11    -5    --         
   429 A Sayville                0-11     -11    -4    --    -5.74
   504 A Eastport/South Manor   11- 5       6     8    -     -2.14
   505 A Bayport-Blue Point     11-10       1     3    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Westhampton Beach      15- 4      11     4    ++     5.32
   415 A Half Hollow Hills West  6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.17
   417 A Islip                   9-10 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.50
   507 H Stony Brook            12- 4       8     4    +      3.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.29 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.45 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/