Region = NY    Ivy              
   Nickname = Y Hornets              Coach  =   Chris Arnold          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.1878281    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A New Rochelle           NY A  Sec 1   ( 9- 7, 78.6)     8- 2   
 407 A Trinity School         NY    Ivy     (10- 4, 98.0)     6-10   
 414 A Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 3- 9, 87.5)     1- 6   
 416 A Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (14- 3, 97.3)     8-12   
 421 A Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     ( 3-12, 88.4)     7- 4   
 423 H Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     (11- 3, 99.9)     8- 9  o
 424 A Rye Country Day        NE 2  FAA     ( 7- 7, 95.0)     8-12   
 428 H Trinity School         NY    Ivy     (10- 4, 98.0)     7- 8   
 430 H Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 3- 9, 87.5)     4- 7   
 505 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (14- 3, 97.3)     7- 8   
 508 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     ( 3-12, 88.4)    11- 9   
 510 H Lakeland/Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (13- 8, 94.4)     1-16   
 513 A Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     (11- 3, 99.9)     9-12   
 515 A Tottenville            NY    MLA     (14- 4, 90.9)    14- 3   
 518 A Fordham Prep           NY    Cathlc  ( 9- 6, 93.6)     9- 5   
 520 A Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     (11- 3, 99.9)    12-11   
 522 N Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (14- 3, 97.3)     9- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A New Rochelle            8- 2       6    11          n/a  
   407 A Trinity School          6-10      -4    -7    +      3.37
   414 A Horace Mann             1- 6      -5     3    ---   -8.21
   416 A Fieldston               8-12      -4    -6    +      2.64
   421 A Poly Prep               7- 4       3     2           0.73
   423 H Riverdale Cou Day       8- 9  o   -1    -7    +++    6.55
   424 A Rye Country Day         8-12      -4    -4          n/a  
   428 H Trinity School          7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.69
   430 H Horace Mann             4- 7      -3     4    ---   -7.89
   505 H Fieldston               7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.96
   508 H Poly Prep              11- 9       2     3          -1.95
   510 H Lakeland/Panas          1-16     -15    -1          n/a  
   513 A Riverdale Cou Day       9-12      -3    -9    +++    6.24
   515 A Tottenville            14- 3      11     0    +++   10.21
   518 A Fordham Prep            9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.97
   520 A Riverdale Cou Day      12-11       1    -9    +++   10.24
   522 N Fieldston               9- 6       3    -5    +++    8.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Horace Mann             1- 6      -5     3    ---   -8.21
   430 H Horace Mann             4- 7      -3     4    ---   -7.89
   510 H Lakeland/Panas          1-16     -15    -1    ---        
   403 A New Rochelle            8- 2       6    11    --         

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Riverdale Cou Day       8- 9  o   -1    -7    +++    6.55
   513 A Riverdale Cou Day       9-12      -3    -9    +++    6.24
   515 A Tottenville            14- 3      11     0    +++   10.21
   518 A Fordham Prep            9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.97
   520 A Riverdale Cou Day      12-11       1    -9    +++   10.24
   522 N Fieldston               9- 6       3    -5    +++    8.80
   428 H Trinity School          7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.69
   407 A Trinity School          6-10      -4    -7    +      3.37
   416 A Fieldston               8-12      -4    -6    +      2.64
   505 H Fieldston               7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.51 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.45 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/