Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Dutchmen             Coach  =   Tom Schwan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.9443893    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 N Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   (12- 6, 91.0)     6- 3   
 406 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-11, 87.0)    16- 7   
 408 H Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (16- 5, 99.9)     5- 3   
 410 A Duxbury                MA 1          (22- 1, 99.9)     8-17   
 412 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-14, 79.9)     9- 0   
 414 A Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-16, 76.6)    16- 4   
 416 H Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   (12- 6, 95.7)    10- 9   
 417 N Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   (13- 7, 94.1)     4-13   
 420 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (18- 5, 98.6)     3- 6   
 422 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-14, 81.3)    13- 1   
 424 A South Windsor          CT 1  CCIAC   (10- 8, 86.4)    13- 2   
 426 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-11, 87.0)    10- 3   
 428 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (16- 5, 99.9)     8- 9   
 430 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-14, 79.9)    15- 0   
 505 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-16, 76.6)    13- 4   
 507 A Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   (12- 6, 95.7)     7- 6   
 512 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (18- 5, 98.6)     4-15   
 514 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-14, 81.3)     9- 2   
 519 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-11, 87.0)    13- 2   
 521 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (16- 5, 99.9)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 N Vestal                  6- 3       3     4          n/a  
   406 H Shaker                 16- 7       9     9          -0.53
   408 H Niskayuna               5- 3       2    -3    ++     5.41
   410 A Duxbury                 8-17      -9    -4          n/a  
   412 A Columbia                9- 0       9    15          -1.00
   414 A Colonie                16- 4      12    18           0.00
   416 H Saratoga Spgs          10- 9       1     0           0.25
   417 N Mahopac                 4-13      -9     1          n/a  
   420 H Shenendehowa            3- 6      -3    -2          -0.91
   422 A Bethlehem              13- 1      12    13           0.00
   424 A South Windsor          13- 2      11     8          n/a  
   426 A Shaker                 10- 3       7     8          -1.28
   428 A Niskayuna               8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.66
   430 H Columbia               15- 0      15    16           0.00
   505 H Colonie                13- 4       9    19          -1.00
   507 A Saratoga Spgs           7- 6       1     0           1.50
   512 A Shenendehowa            4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.65
   514 H Bethlehem               9- 2       7    15    -     -3.00
   519 H Shaker                 13- 2      11     9           0.47
   521 A Niskayuna               5-11      -6    -4          -1.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 N Mahopac                 4-13      -9     1    ---        
   512 A Shenendehowa            4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.65
   410 A Duxbury                 8-17      -9    -4    --         
   514 H Bethlehem               9- 2       7    15    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Niskayuna               5- 3       2    -3    ++     5.41
   428 A Niskayuna               8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.87 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.67 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    9.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.230.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/