Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Phil Sacket           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.8489609    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 A Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 8-10, 88.2)     6-11   
 323 H Magruder               MD 43 North   ( 7- 7, 78.6)    15- 5   
 325 H Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 5-15, 78.3)    19- 5   
 327 A McDonogh               MD A  MIAA    (18- 5, 99.9)     5-18   
 330 A Archbishop Carroll     DC    WCAC    ( 0-14, 71.0)    18- 1   
 405 H St Andrews Episcopal   DC    MAC     ( 9- 6, 89.2)    14- 4   
 406 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (16- 4, 99.2)     4-17   
 408 A St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (10- 7, 94.1)     7- 9   
 416 A Myrtle Beach LC        SC    SCLL    ( 6- 5, 93.9)    18- 1   
 417 N Green Hope             NC    Public  (12- 9, 84.4)    20- 1   
 417 N Triangle LC(TALL)      NC    Indep   ( 3- 6, 78.5)    28- 0   
 420 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (11- 5, 98.9)     7-19   
 422 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (13- 4, 99.9)     6-16   
 425 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (16- 6, 96.7)    10-11   
 427 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 7-11, 88.7)    16- 8   
 429 A Paul VI                DC    WCAC    ( 9- 9, 88.2)    22- 9   
 501 H Forest Park            VA    Card    ( 9- 7, 85.2)    21- 5   
 506 A St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (11- 5, 98.9)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Archbishop Spalding     6-11      -5     5          n/a  
   323 H Magruder               15- 5      10    15          n/a  
   325 H Bishop Ireton          19- 5      14    16           0.00
   327 A McDonogh                5-18     -13    -6          n/a  
   330 A Archbishop Carroll     18- 1      17    21           0.00
   405 H St Andrews Episcopal   14- 4      10     5    ++     4.64
   406 H Georgetown Prep         4-17     -13    -5          n/a  
   408 A St Johns DC             7- 9      -2    -1          -0.76
   416 A Myrtle Beach LC        18- 1      17    -1          n/a  
   417 N Green Hope             20- 1      19     9          n/a  
   417 N Triangle LC(TALL)      28- 0      28    15          n/a  
   420 H St Marys Ryken          7-19     -12    -4    --    -5.73
   422 A DeMatha                 6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.97
   425 H Gonzaga                10-11      -1    -2           1.11
   427 H Bishop O'Connell       16- 8       8     5    +      2.12
   429 A Paul VI                22- 9      13     4    ++     5.38
   501 H Forest Park            21- 5      16     9          n/a  
   506 A St Marys Ryken          7-14      -7    -5          -1.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Archbishop Spalding     6-11      -5     5    ---        
   406 H Georgetown Prep         4-17     -13    -5    --         
   420 H St Marys Ryken          7-19     -12    -4    --    -5.73
   327 A McDonogh                5-18     -13    -6    -          
   422 A DeMatha                 6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Myrtle Beach LC        18- 1      17    -1    +++        
   405 H St Andrews Episcopal   14- 4      10     5    ++     4.64
   429 A Paul VI                22- 9      13     4    ++     5.38
   427 H Bishop O'Connell       16- 8       8     5    +      2.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.73 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.18 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.3
/