Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Terry Ostrander       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9386444    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 419 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (19- 4, 95.4)     3-10   
 421 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (19- 3, 99.9)     6-15   
 423 H Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-17, 69.1)    12- 0   
 427 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 88.1)     3- 9   
 429 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 89.7)     7- 5   
 430 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 82.9)     1- 6   
 503 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 89.0)     3- 7   
 505 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 81.0)    10- 2   
 507 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 88.2)    12- 2   
 510 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 88.2)    10- 8   
 512 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 93.4)     5- 8   
 519 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 78.4)    14- 5   
 524 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 80.1)    13- 8   
 526 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 89.7)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Amherst                 3-10      -7    -7           0.16
   421 H Orchard Park            6-15      -9   -11           1.00
   423 H Jamestown              12- 0      12    19           0.00
   427 H Sweet Home              3- 9      -6     0    ---   -6.11
   429 A West Seneca West        7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.99
   430 H Lancaster               1- 6      -5     5    ---  -10.34
   503 A Hamburg                 3- 7      -4    -2          -1.75
   505 A Iroquois               10- 2       8     5    +      2.24
   507 A Williamsville North    12- 2      10    -1    +++   11.52
   510 H West Seneca East       10- 8       2     0           1.95
   512 H Williamsville East      5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.20
   519 H Williamsville South    14- 5       9     9          -0.84
   524 H Clarence               13- 8       5     8    -     -3.16
   526 A West Seneca West        6-10      -4    -2          -1.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Sweet Home              3- 9      -6     0    ---   -6.11
   430 H Lancaster               1- 6      -5     5    ---  -10.34
   524 H Clarence               13- 8       5     8    -     -3.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Williamsville North    12- 2      10    -1    +++   11.52
   429 A West Seneca West        7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.99
   505 A Iroquois               10- 2       8     5    +      2.24
   512 H Williamsville East      5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.48 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.87 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/