Region = CT 2  ECIAC            
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Dave Howes            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5028534    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 H Farmington             CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 9, 89.6)     5- 8   
 417 A Southington            CT 1  CCIAC   ( 7-11, 85.2)     8-15   
 419 H Morgan-Clinton         CT 2  Indep   ( 7-10, 84.8)    15- 5   
 420 H Norwich Free Academy   CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-13, 77.2)    16- 4   
 423 A Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 5-11, 81.8)     9-15   
 428 H Old Lyme               CT 2  Indep   ( 9- 5, 91.2)     9- 5   
 430 H Norwich Tech           CT 2  Indep   ( 0-14, 70.2)    14- 0   
 503 A Avon HS                CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 3-13, 78.8)    13- 4   
 504 A Ledyard                CT 2  ECIAC   (11- 6, 92.3)    11- 9   
 506 H Granby                 CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 4-10, 79.2)    18- 5   
 508 A East Lyme              CT 2  ECIAC   (21- 1, 99.9)    11-13   
 511 H St Bernard             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 1-14, 74.0)    12- 0   
 513 H Windsor                CT 1  CCIAC   ( 7- 9, 81.4)     8- 9  o
 518 A Woodstock Academy      CT 2  ECIAC   ( 8- 8, 84.7)     6-11   
 520 H Stonington             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 9- 5, 90.3)     4-11   
 524 H Suffield HS            CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 7-10, 85.0)    10- 5   
 605 A Ledyard                CT 2  ECIAC   (11- 6, 92.3)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Farmington              5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.84
   417 A Southington             8-15      -7     2          n/a  
   419 H Morgan-Clinton         15- 5      10     4    ++     5.39
   420 H Norwich Free Academy   16- 4      12    12           0.00
   423 A Guilford                9-15      -6     5          n/a  
   428 H Old Lyme                9- 5       4    -1    ++     5.82
   430 H Norwich Tech           14- 0      14    19           0.00
   503 A Avon HS                13- 4       9     9          -0.16
   504 A Ledyard                11- 9       2    -4    +++    6.31
   506 H Granby                 18- 5      13    10           0.00
   508 A East Lyme              11-13      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   511 H St Bernard             12- 0      12    15           0.00
   513 H Windsor                 8- 9  o   -1     8          n/a  
   518 A Woodstock Academy       6-11      -5     3    ---   -8.32
   520 H Stonington              4-11      -7     0    ---   -6.08
   524 H Suffield HS            10- 5       5     4           0.60
   605 A Ledyard                 9-12      -3    -4           1.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Southington             8-15      -7     2    ---        
   423 A Guilford                9-15      -6     5    ---        
   513 H Windsor                 8- 9  o   -1     8    ---        
   518 A Woodstock Academy       6-11      -5     3    ---   -8.32
   520 H Stonington              4-11      -7     0    ---   -6.08
   410 H Farmington              5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Ledyard                11- 9       2    -4    +++    6.31
   508 A East Lyme              11-13      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   419 H Morgan-Clinton         15- 5      10     4    ++     5.39
   428 H Old Lyme                9- 5       4    -1    ++     5.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.71 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.74 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/