Region = CT 2 ECIAC Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Dave HowesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.5028534 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 410 H Farmington CT 2 NWCIAC (11- 9, 89.6) 5- 8 417 A Southington CT 1 CCIAC ( 7-11, 85.2) 8-15 419 H Morgan-Clinton CT 2 Indep ( 7-10, 84.8) 15- 5 420 H Norwich Free Academy CT 2 ECIAC ( 3-13, 77.2) 16- 4 423 A Guilford CT 1 SCIAC ( 5-11, 81.8) 9-15 428 H Old Lyme CT 2 Indep ( 9- 5, 91.2) 9- 5 430 H Norwich Tech CT 2 Indep ( 0-14, 70.2) 14- 0 503 A Avon HS CT 2 NWCIAC ( 3-13, 78.8) 13- 4 504 A Ledyard CT 2 ECIAC (11- 6, 92.3) 11- 9 506 H Granby CT 2 NWCIAC ( 4-10, 79.2) 18- 5 508 A East Lyme CT 2 ECIAC (21- 1, 99.9) 11-13 511 H St Bernard CT 2 ECIAC ( 1-14, 74.0) 12- 0 513 H Windsor CT 1 CCIAC ( 7- 9, 81.4) 8- 9 o 518 A Woodstock Academy CT 2 ECIAC ( 8- 8, 84.7) 6-11 520 H Stonington CT 2 ECIAC ( 9- 5, 90.3) 4-11 524 H Suffield HS CT 2 NWCIAC ( 7-10, 85.0) 10- 5 605 A Ledyard CT 2 ECIAC (11- 6, 92.3) 9-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Farmington 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.84 417 A Southington 8-15 -7 2 n/a 419 H Morgan-Clinton 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.39 420 H Norwich Free Academy 16- 4 12 12 0.00 423 A Guilford 9-15 -6 5 n/a 428 H Old Lyme 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.82 430 H Norwich Tech 14- 0 14 19 0.00 503 A Avon HS 13- 4 9 9 -0.16 504 A Ledyard 11- 9 2 -4 +++ 6.31 506 H Granby 18- 5 13 10 0.00 508 A East Lyme 11-13 -2 -11 +++ 8.00 511 H St Bernard 12- 0 12 15 0.00 513 H Windsor 8- 9 o -1 8 n/a 518 A Woodstock Academy 6-11 -5 3 --- -8.32 520 H Stonington 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.08 524 H Suffield HS 10- 5 5 4 0.60 605 A Ledyard 9-12 -3 -4 1.31UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Southington 8-15 -7 2 --- 423 A Guilford 9-15 -6 5 --- 513 H Windsor 8- 9 o -1 8 --- 518 A Woodstock Academy 6-11 -5 3 --- -8.32 520 H Stonington 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.08 410 H Farmington 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.84OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 A Ledyard 11- 9 2 -4 +++ 6.31 508 A East Lyme 11-13 -2 -11 +++ 8.00 419 H Morgan-Clinton 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.39 428 H Old Lyme 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.82/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.71 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 66.74 Local SOS Rank............. 28 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 12 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7