Region = CT 1 SCIAC Nickname = T Jesuits Coach = Chris SmalkaisGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.9539719 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Xavier-Middletown CT 1 SCIAC ( 5-11, 80.5) 15- 0 410 A Wilton CT 1 FCIAC (20- 3, 97.9) 6- 7 413 H Greenwich CT 1 FCIAC (13- 6, 94.0) 13- 7 415 H North Haven CT 2 SCIAC ( 4-12, 80.5) 15- 2 419 H West Haven CT 2 SCIAC ( 7-10, 83.4) 16- 4 421 A Darien CT 1 FCIAC (19- 3, 99.9) 3- 7 424 A Chaminade NY Cath (17- 2, 99.9) 3-15 427 H Barlow-Redding CT 1 SWCIAC (16- 4, 94.5) 14- 4 429 A Guilford CT 1 SCIAC ( 5-11, 81.8) 16- 5 508 A New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (16- 6, 94.6) 3- 8 511 H Daniel Hand-Madison CT 1 SCIAC (15- 4, 95.8) 10- 4 513 H Amity Regional CT 1 SCIAC ( 9- 8, 89.1) 14- 4 518 A Cheshire HS CT 1 SCIAC (11- 9, 89.7) 10- 7 520 A Branford CT 1 SCIAC (15- 4, 95.4) 9- 8 2o 525 A Hamden CT 2 SCIAC ( 3-14, 78.8) 21- 2 527 H Glastonbury CT 1 CCIAC (17- 2, 96.1) 9- 6 529 N Cheshire HS CT 1 SCIAC (11- 9, 89.7) 10- 4 601 N Daniel Hand-Madison CT 1 SCIAC (15- 4, 95.8) 3- 8 605 A Daniel Hand-Madison CT 1 SCIAC (15- 4, 95.8) 10- 7 608 A Darien CT 1 FCIAC (19- 3, 99.9) 7-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Xavier-Middletown 15- 0 15 13 0.00 410 A Wilton 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.82 413 H Greenwich 13- 7 6 2 + 3.62 415 H North Haven 15- 2 13 15 n/a 419 H West Haven 16- 4 12 12 n/a 421 A Darien 3- 7 -4 -5 1.84 424 A Chaminade 3-15 -12 -5 n/a 427 H Barlow-Redding 14- 4 10 1 +++ 8.06 429 A Guilford 16- 5 11 12 0.00 508 A New Canaan 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.42 511 H Daniel Hand-Madison 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.43 513 H Amity Regional 14- 4 10 7 + 2.74 518 A Cheshire HS 10- 7 3 4 -1.32 520 A Branford 9- 8 2o 1 -1 + 2.38 525 A Hamden 21- 2 19 15 n/a 527 H Glastonbury 9- 6 3 0 + 2.74 529 N Cheshire HS 10- 4 6 5 0.51 601 N Daniel Hand-Madison 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.40 605 A Daniel Hand-Madison 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.76 608 A Darien 7-14 -7 -5 -1.16UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Chaminade 3-15 -12 -5 -- 508 A New Canaan 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.42 601 N Daniel Hand-Madison 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.40OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 H Barlow-Redding 14- 4 10 1 +++ 8.06 511 H Daniel Hand-Madison 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.43 605 A Daniel Hand-Madison 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.76 410 A Wilton 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.82 413 H Greenwich 13- 7 6 2 + 3.62 513 H Amity Regional 14- 4 10 7 + 2.74 520 A Branford 9- 8 2o 1 -1 + 2.38 527 H Glastonbury 9- 6 3 0 + 2.74/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 95.23 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 81.30 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 19.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -0.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0