Region = CT 1 FCIAC Nickname = T Mustangs Coach = Mike MulveyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.4639740 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Greenwich CT 1 FCIAC (13- 6, 94.0) 2- 7 410 A New Canaan CT 1 FCIAC (16- 6, 94.6) 4- 9 412 A South Windsor CT 1 CCIAC (10- 8, 86.4) 8- 9 414 A Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC (11- 7, 91.9) 6-11 417 H Barlow-Redding CT 1 SWCIAC (16- 4, 94.5) 7- 8 420 H Staples-Westport CT 1 FCIAC ( 7-10, 86.4) 11- 6 422 A Stamford CT 2 FCIAC ( 0-14, 75.8) 16- 1 427 H Glastonbury CT 1 CCIAC (17- 2, 96.1) 11-13 430 A Ridgefield CT 1 FCIAC ( 5-12, 85.4) 9-12 504 H Wilton CT 1 FCIAC (20- 3, 97.9) 5-12 506 H Westhill CT 2 FCIAC ( 2-14, 78.6) 15- 4 511 H Trumbull CT 2 FCIAC (11- 8, 92.0) 9- 7 513 A Simsbury CT 1 CCIAC (15- 4, 93.8) 9-10 518 A Danbury CT 2 FCIAC ( 8- 9, 87.7) 11-12 522 H Newtown CT 1 SWCIAC ( 9-10, 87.2) 9- 8 o 525 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT 1 FCIAC (11- 8, 93.6) 5-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Greenwich 2- 7 -5 -9 ++ 4.73 410 A New Canaan 4- 9 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 412 A South Windsor 8- 9 -1 -2 1.11 414 A Norwalk 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.63 417 H Barlow-Redding 7- 8 -1 -7 +++ 6.83 420 H Staples-Westport 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.78 422 A Stamford 16- 1 15 8 n/a 427 H Glastonbury 11-13 -2 -9 +++ 7.52 430 A Ridgefield 9-12 -3 -1 -1.86 504 H Wilton 5-12 -7 -11 + 3.00 506 H Westhill 15- 4 11 7 n/a 511 H Trumbull 9- 7 2 -5 n/a 513 A Simsbury 9-10 -1 -9 +++ 8.50 518 A Danbury 11-12 -1 -3 n/a 522 H Newtown 9- 8 o 1 0 1.56 525 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 5-17 -12 -9 -0.65UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Barlow-Redding 7- 8 -1 -7 +++ 6.83 427 H Glastonbury 11-13 -2 -9 +++ 7.52 511 H Trumbull 9- 7 2 -5 +++ 513 A Simsbury 9-10 -1 -9 +++ 8.50 407 A Greenwich 2- 7 -5 -9 ++ 4.73 410 A New Canaan 4- 9 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 420 H Staples-Westport 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.78 414 A Norwalk 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.63 504 H Wilton 5-12 -7 -11 + 3.00 506 H Westhill 15- 4 11 7 + 518 A Danbury 11-12 -1 -3 +/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.45 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 76.95 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 19 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 15 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 22 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0