Region = PA LL04 Nickname = A Moutaineers Coach = Mike ReamGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.9562378 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 323 H Hershey PA Mid 1 (13- 6, 83.4) 3- 4 325 A Red Lion PA York 1 (12- 3, 85.2) 4- 5 330 H York Catholic PA York 1 ( 4- 9, 71.9) 10- 6 403 A Phoenixville PA Indep ( 2- 8, 68.5) 11- 6 406 H Conestoga Valley PA LL04 (10- 4, 83.6) 2- 3 408 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL04 ( 5- 9, 73.3) 6- 8 409 A Bishop McDevitt PA Mid 1 ( 1-14, 70.0) 14- 3 417 A Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 (10- 7, 79.6) 3- 6 417 N Tunkhannock PA Indep ( 1- 8, 62.9) 16- 0 420 A Penn Manor PA LL04 ( 6- 8, 82.5) 4-16 421 A Warwick PA LL04 (12-10, 78.7) 6-11 422 H Central York PA York 1 ( 4- 9, 73.9) 7- 6 424 A Palmyra PA Mid 1 ( 1-11, 66.7) 13- 2 427 A Conestoga Valley PA LL04 (10- 4, 83.6) 6-11 429 H Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL04 ( 5- 9, 73.3) 14- 7 504 H Dallastown PA York 1 ( 8- 3, 80.1) 11-12 506 A Lancaster Country Day PA LL04 (12- 7, 89.9) 1-18 508 H Daniel Boone PA Indep ( 2- 7, 67.8) 12- 9 511 H Warwick PA LL04 (12-10, 78.7) 9- 8 513 H Penn Manor PA LL04 ( 6- 8, 82.5) 6-12 517 A York Catholic PA York 1 ( 4- 9, 71.9) 12- 6 519 A Dallastown PA York 1 ( 8- 3, 80.1) 6- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H Hershey 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.58 325 A Red Lion 4- 5 -1 -9 +++ 8.55 330 H York Catholic 10- 6 4 6 - -2.95 403 A Phoenixville 11- 6 5 7 n/a 406 H Conestoga Valley 2- 3 -1 -4 + 3.73 408 A Lampeter-Strasburg 6- 8 -2 2 -- -4.28 409 A Bishop McDevitt 14- 3 11 5 ++ 4.38 417 A Central Dauphin 3- 6 -3 -4 1.03 417 N Tunkhannock 16- 0 16 14 n/a 420 A Penn Manor 4-16 -12 -6 - -3.06 421 A Warwick 6-11 -5 -3 -1.94 422 H Central York 7- 6 1 4 - -3.96 424 A Palmyra 13- 2 11 8 1.06 427 A Conestoga Valley 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.97 429 H Lampeter-Strasburg 14- 7 7 5 1.47 504 H Dallastown 11-12 -1 -1 0.23 506 A Lancaster Country Day 1-18 -17 -14 0.00 508 H Daniel Boone 12- 9 3 10 n/a 511 H Warwick 9- 8 1 0 0.81 513 H Penn Manor 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.31 517 A York Catholic 12- 6 6 3 + 2.30 519 A Dallastown 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.47UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Daniel Boone 12- 9 3 10 --- 408 A Lampeter-Strasburg 6- 8 -2 2 -- -4.28 330 H York Catholic 10- 6 4 6 - -2.95 403 A Phoenixville 11- 6 5 7 - 420 A Penn Manor 4-16 -12 -6 - -3.06 422 H Central York 7- 6 1 4 - -3.96 513 H Penn Manor 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.31OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Red Lion 4- 5 -1 -9 +++ 8.55 409 A Bishop McDevitt 14- 3 11 5 ++ 4.38 323 H Hershey 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.58 406 H Conestoga Valley 2- 3 -1 -4 + 3.73 427 A Conestoga Valley 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.97 517 A York Catholic 12- 6 6 3 + 2.30 519 A Dallastown 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.47/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.23 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 52.35 Local SOS Rank............. 21 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 20 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 14 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 24 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -17.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7