Conf = Bianch Region = NJ Grp-IV Nickname = J Bears Coach = Mark GriloGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.4114990 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Rutgers Prep NJ Private ( 7-10, 75.0) 11- 4 408 A Manasquan NJ Grp-II (14- 5, 87.3) 2- 8 412 H St Joseph Metuchen NJ Grp-III ( 6-13, 78.0) 9- 8 416 A Pennington NJ Private ( 6-10, 75.6) 11- 5 420 H Hun School NJ Private (12- 4, 91.1) 8-17 421 H Jackson Memorial NJ Grp-IV ( 9- 6, 75.7) 12- 4 424 N Hopewell Valley NJ Grp-II (10- 9, 80.7) 7- 9 427 A Princeton Day NJ Private (10- 5, 82.6) 10- 9 2o 429 A Old Bridge NJ Grp-IV ( 2-16, 68.6) 13- 8 430 H West Windsor-PB So NJ Grp-III (13- 5, 87.1) 2- 7 503 A Toms River North NJ Grp-IV ( 4-10, 69.3) 11- 3 505 A North Brunswick NJ Grp-III ( 8-10, 78.8) 11- 5 506 H South Brunswick NJ Grp-IV (15- 4, 85.8) 3-14 511 H West Windsor-PB No NJ Grp-II (12- 5, 88.7) 10-15 512 A Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (10- 2, 82.7) 6- 7 514 H Edison NJ Grp-IV ( 1-15, 63.7) 13- 3 520 A Bridgewater-Raritan NJ Grp-IV (11- 9, 86.9) 4- 8 524 H St Joseph Metuchen NJ Grp-III ( 6-13, 78.0) 5-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Rutgers Prep 11- 4 7 4 + 2.89 408 A Manasquan 2- 8 -6 -8 + 2.13 412 H St Joseph Metuchen 9- 8 1 2 -1.65 416 A Pennington 11- 5 6 3 + 2.50 420 H Hun School 8-17 -9 -10 1.00 421 H Jackson Memorial 12- 4 8 4 + 3.05 424 N Hopewell Valley 7- 9 -2 0 -1.22 427 A Princeton Day 10- 9 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.50 429 A Old Bridge 13- 8 5 10 -- -5.00 430 H West Windsor-PB So 2- 7 -5 -6 1.45 503 A Toms River North 11- 3 8 9 -1.82 505 A North Brunswick 11- 5 6 0 ++ 5.68 506 H South Brunswick 3-14 -11 -5 -- -4.82 511 H West Windsor-PB No 10-15 -5 -7 + 3.00 512 A Rumson-Fair Haven 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.51 514 H Edison 13- 3 10 16 0.00 520 A Bridgewater-Raritan 4- 8 -4 -7 + 3.78 524 H St Joseph Metuchen 5-11 -6 2 --- -8.65UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 524 H St Joseph Metuchen 5-11 -6 2 --- -8.65 429 A Old Bridge 13- 8 5 10 -- -5.00 506 H South Brunswick 3-14 -11 -5 -- -4.82OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 A Princeton Day 10- 9 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.50 505 A North Brunswick 11- 5 6 0 ++ 5.68 407 A Rutgers Prep 11- 4 7 4 + 2.89 408 A Manasquan 2- 8 -6 -8 + 2.13 416 A Pennington 11- 5 6 3 + 2.50 421 H Jackson Memorial 12- 4 8 4 + 3.05 511 H West Windsor-PB No 10-15 -5 -7 + 3.00 512 A Rumson-Fair Haven 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.51 520 A Bridgewater-Raritan 4- 8 -4 -7 + 3.78/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.90 Local Power Rank........... 56 Local SOS Rating......... 57.72 Local SOS Rank............. 53 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 54 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 33 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 65 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0