Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Redmen               Coach  =   Joe Ancona            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.3934708    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Stony Brook            NY C  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 72.8)    17- 4   
 325 A Locust Valley          NY C  Sec 8   ( 9- 9, 82.6)     8- 3   
 330 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 68.9)    16- 6   
 401 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.2)    13- 9   
 403 A Island Trees           NY C  Sec 8   ( 9- 8, 80.7)    10- 4   
 407 A Copaigue               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 75.1)    14- 5   
 414 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 83.4)     7- 6   
 420 H Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 9, 85.7)     5-11   
 422 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 87.6)     6- 8   
 426 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 91.6)    10-11   
 428 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 82.8)    12-10   
 430 H Sachem                 NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.8)     5-10   
 504 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.6)     9- 5   
 506 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     2-13   
 507 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 78.5)    12- 9   
 513 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-17, 68.0)    15- 1   
 514 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 93.6)     4-11   
 519 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.2)     8- 7  o
 521 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     8-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Stony Brook            17- 4      13    13           0.00
   325 A Locust Valley           8- 3       5     3          n/a  
   330 H Brentwood              16- 6      10    17           0.00
   401 H Lindenhurst            13- 9       4     0    +      3.57
   403 A Island Trees           10- 4       6     5          n/a  
   407 A Copaigue               14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   414 A Bay Shore               7- 6       1     3    -     -2.05
   420 H Smithtown               5-11      -6     0    ---   -6.88
   422 A William Floyd           6- 8      -2    -1          -0.83
   426 A Northport              10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.16
   428 H Connetquot             12-10       2     3          -1.85
   430 H Sachem                  5-10      -5    -5           0.23
   504 A Patchogue-Medford       9- 5       4     6    -     -2.90
   506 A West Islip              2-13     -11   -13           0.00
   507 A North Babylon          12- 9       3     7    --    -5.00
   513 A Walt Whitman           15- 1      14    18           0.00
   514 H Ward Melville           4-11      -7    -6          -0.04
   519 H Half Hollow Hills East  8- 7  o    1     1          -0.39
   521 A West Islip              8-18     -10   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Smithtown               5-11      -6     0    ---   -6.88
   507 A North Babylon          12- 9       3     7    --    -5.00
   414 A Bay Shore               7- 6       1     3    -     -2.05
   504 A Patchogue-Medford       9- 5       4     6    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Northport              10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.16
   401 H Lindenhurst            13- 9       4     0    +      3.57
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.54 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.81 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/