Region = NC    Public           
   Nickname = C Pirates              Coach  =   Jim Kirkley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.5028687    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H Mount Tabor            NC    Public  (15- 5, 96.6)     5- 6   
 308 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    Public  ( 7-10, 76.0)    19- 0   
 309 A Apex                   NC    Public  (21- 2, 99.9)     4-14   
 311 H Plano                  TX 1  North   (13- 5, 95.9)     2-13   
 319 H AA Christian           MD B  MIAA    ( 8-11, 86.7)     6- 7   
 323 H East Chapel Hill       NC    Public  (17- 4, 99.1)     3- 8   
 324 A Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  (15- 6, 95.0)     0- 8   
 326 H Northern Durham        NC    Public  ( 0-16, 67.2)    21- 0   
 330 A Durham Jordan          NC    Public  ( 9- 8, 92.6)    11-13   
 402 H Chapel Hill            NC    Public  (11-11, 92.2)    12-11  o
 406 A Northern Durham        NC    Public  ( 0-16, 67.2)    23- 0   
 408 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Public  (17- 4, 99.1)     2-12   
 413 N De La Salle            MI 1          ( 5-13, 82.0)     7- 9   
 414 N Bloomfield Hills       MI 2          ( 6-12, 87.2)    11- 2   
 420 H Durham Jordan          NC    Public  ( 9- 8, 92.6)    12- 2   
 421 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    Public  ( 7-10, 76.0)    21- 1   
 427 A Chapel Hill            NC    Public  (11-11, 92.2)     6- 7   
 430 A Greensboro Grimsley    NC    Public  (13- 9, 93.3)     6- 9   
 504 A Chapel Hill            NC    Public  (11-11, 92.2)     7- 6   
 506 A Durham Jordan          NC    Public  ( 9- 8, 92.6)    10- 7   
 511 A Wilmington Laney       NC    Public  ( 9- 7, 93.3)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Mount Tabor             5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.31
   308 H Hillsborough Orange    19- 0      19    15           0.00
   309 A Apex                    4-14     -10   -10           0.00
   311 H Plano                   2-13     -11    -4          n/a  
   319 H AA Christian            6- 7      -1     4          n/a  
   323 H East Chapel Hill        3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.79
   324 A Durham Academy          0- 8      -8    -5          n/a  
   326 H Northern Durham        21- 0      21    24           0.00
   330 A Durham Jordan          11-13      -2    -2           0.94
   402 H Chapel Hill            12-11  o    1     0           1.93
   406 A Northern Durham        23- 0      23    22           0.00
   408 A East Chapel Hill        2-12     -10    -9          -0.55
   413 N De La Salle             7- 9      -2     8          n/a  
   414 N Bloomfield Hills       11- 2       9     3          n/a  
   420 H Durham Jordan          12- 2      10    -1    +++   11.28
   421 A Hillsborough Orange    21- 1      20    13           0.00
   427 A Chapel Hill             6- 7      -1    -2           1.59
   430 A Greensboro Grimsley     6- 9      -3    -3           0.70
   504 A Chapel Hill             7- 6       1    -2    +      3.59
   506 A Durham Jordan          10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.94
   511 A Wilmington Laney        5- 9      -4    -3          -0.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 N De La Salle             7- 9      -2     8    ---        
   311 H Plano                   2-13     -11    -4    --         
   319 H AA Christian            6- 7      -1     4    --         
   324 A Durham Academy          0- 8      -8    -5    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Durham Jordan          12- 2      10    -1    +++   11.28
   305 H Mount Tabor             5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.31
   414 N Bloomfield Hills       11- 2       9     3    ++         
   506 A Durham Jordan          10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.94
   323 H East Chapel Hill        3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.79
   504 A Chapel Hill             7- 6       1    -2    +      3.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.47 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.30 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/