Dobson                        5 - 7


 
                                     Region = AZ    South            
   Nickname = Z Mustangs             Coach  =   Jamie Hernandez       



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.5360107    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 130 A Horizon                AZ    West    ( 0-12, 62.1)    14- 6   
 207 H Tucson                 AZ    South   ( 4- 9, 74.6)    12- 2   
 214 N Gilbert                AZ    East    (13- 4, 98.4)     4-16   
 218 A Chaparral              AZ    North   (16- 2, 99.9)     2-13   
 228 H Chandler               AZ    South   ( 9- 5, 90.2)     3-12   
 303 H Mesa                   AZ    East    ( 2-10, 69.4)    14- 0   
 306 A Phoenix Country Day    AZ    West    (11- 3, 95.9)     5-13   
 312 A Desert Vista           AZ    West    ( 8- 5, 91.1)    10-11  o
 327 A Tucson T-V             AZ    South   ( 2-10, 68.4)    17- 3   
 403 H Desert Mountain        AZ    North   (10- 3, 92.3)     4- 8   
 416 A Hamilton               AZ    South   ( 6- 6, 84.0)    12-11   
 419 H Saguaro                AZ    North   ( 7- 7, 87.2)     4-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   130 A Horizon                14- 6       8    20    -     -2.00
   207 H Tucson                 12- 2      10     7    +      2.38
   214 N Gilbert                 4-16     -12   -16           0.00
   218 A Chaparral               2-13     -11   -17           0.00
   228 H Chandler                3-12      -9    -7          -1.07
   303 H Mesa                   14- 0      14    12           0.00
   306 A Phoenix Country Day     5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
   312 A Desert Vista           10-11  o   -1    -8    +++    7.89
   327 A Tucson T-V             17- 3      14    13           0.00
   403 H Desert Mountain         4- 8      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   416 A Hamilton               12-11       1    -1    +      2.80
   419 H Saguaro                 4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.03


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Saguaro                 4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.03
   130 A Horizon                14- 6       8    20    -     -2.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Desert Vista           10-11  o   -1    -8    +++    7.89
   403 H Desert Mountain         4- 8      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   207 H Tucson                 12- 2      10     7    +      2.38
   306 A Phoenix Country Day     5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
   416 A Hamilton               12-11       1    -1    +      2.80




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.23 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.12 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0


  
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